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Is Solventum (NYSE:SOLV) A Risky Investment?

Is Solventum (NYSE:SOLV) A Risky Investment?

Solventum(纽交所:SOLV)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/13 00:05

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Solventum Corporation (NYSE:SOLV) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

传奇基金经理李录(查理·芒格的支持者)曾说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受资本的永久损失。” 所以当你考虑任何特定股票的风险时,需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务可能会拖垮一家公司。我们注意到Solventum Corporation(纽交所:SOLV)确实在资产负债表上有债务。但股东们是否应该担心它所使用的债务?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什么时候负债才是一个问题?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

通常来说,只有当一家公司不能轻易地偿还债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题,借助于筹集资本或其自身的现金流。 在最坏的情况下,如果一家公司无法偿还其债权人,可以破产。 然而,一个更常见的(但仍然痛苦的)情况是,它必须以低价筹集新的股本资本,从而永久稀释股东。 当然,债务可以是企业的重要工具,特别是对于重资产企业而言。 考虑公司的债务水平时的第一步是将其现金和债务放在一起考虑。

How Much Debt Does Solventum Carry?

Solventum承担了多少债务?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, Solventum had US$8.11b of debt, up from none a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$772.0m, its net debt is less, at about US$7.34b.

正如您所见,2024年9月底,Solventum的债务为81.1亿美元,比一年前增加,而去年则为零。点击图片以获取更多详细信息。 然而,由于其现金储备为77200万美元,其净债务较少,约为73.4亿美元。

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NYSE:SOLV Debt to Equity History November 12th 2024
纽交所:SOLV资产负债历史数据2024年11月12日

A Look At Solventum's Liabilities

审视Solventum的负债情况

The latest balance sheet data shows that Solventum had liabilities of US$2.90b due within a year, and liabilities of US$8.65b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$772.0m as well as receivables valued at US$1.33b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$9.45b.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,Solventum有着近期到期的29亿美元负债,以及之后到期的86.5亿美元负债。 抵消这些义务的是,它持有7702万美元的现金以及12个月内到期的13.3亿美元应收账款。 因此,其负债超过其现金和(近期)应收账款总和94.5亿美元。

This is a mountain of leverage even relative to its gargantuan market capitalization of US$12.5b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

即便相对于其125亿美元庞大的市值来说,这是一座负债之山。 这表明如果公司需要匆忙筹集资金来强化资产负债表,股东们将面临严重摊薄。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

为了对公司的债务相对于其收益进行规模适应,我们计算其净债务与利息、税、折旧和摊销前收益(EBITDA)之比及其税前收益(EBIT)与利息支出之比(利息保障倍数)。因此,我们既考虑到不包括折旧和摊销费用在内的收益,又包括折旧和摊销费用的收益相对于债务。

Solventum has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.0 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 5.0 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Importantly, Solventum's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 22% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Solventum can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Solventum的债务与EBITDA比率为4.0,其EBIt覆盖5.0倍利息费用。 这表明尽管债务水平较高,我们不愿意称之为有问题。 重要的是,Solventum的EBIt在过去十二个月惊人地下降了22%。 如果这种盈利趋势持续下去,偿还债务将像让猫跑上过山车一样困难。 在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。 但最终业务的未来盈利能力将决定Solventum是否能够随着时间加强其资产负债表。 因此,如果你专注于未来,可以查看这份展示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Solventum generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 91% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

最后,一家企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润并不能解决问题。 所以我们明显需要查看这个EBIt是否带来相应的自由现金流。 在过去三年中,Solventum产生了相当强劲的自由现金流,金额相当于其EBIt的91%,超出我们的预期。 这使其有足够的能力偿还债务,如果需要的话。

Our View

我们的观点

Solventum's EBIT growth rate and net debt to EBITDA definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to convert EBIT to free cash flow with ease. We should also note that Medical Equipment industry companies like Solventum commonly do use debt without problems. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Solventum is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Solventum is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is a bit concerning...

Solventum的EBIt增长率和净债务与EBITDA比确实使我们对其评价产生影响。但好消息是,它似乎能够轻松将EBIt转化为自由现金流。我们还应该注意,像Solventum这样的医疗设备行业公司通常使用债务而没有问题。当我们考虑到所有讨论的因素时,我们认为Solventum在使用债务方面存在一些风险。虽然债务可以提高回报,但我们认为公司现在已经有足够的杠杆。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。然而,并非所有投资风险都存在于资产负债表中 - 远非如此。请注意,我们在投资分析中发现Solventum有两个警示信号,其中一个值得关注。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,立即发现我们独家的净现金增长股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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