Even Though Western MiningLtd (SHSE:601168) Has Lost CN¥3.1b Market Cap in Last 7 Days, Shareholders Are Still up 300% Over 5 Years
Even Though Western MiningLtd (SHSE:601168) Has Lost CN¥3.1b Market Cap in Last 7 Days, Shareholders Are Still up 300% Over 5 Years
When you buy shares in a company, it's worth keeping in mind the possibility that it could fail, and you could lose your money. But on the bright side, if you buy shares in a high quality company at the right price, you can gain well over 100%. One great example is Western Mining Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:601168) which saw its share price drive 232% higher over five years. It's also good to see the share price up 16% over the last quarter. But this move may well have been assisted by the reasonably buoyant market (up 31% in 90 days).
当您购买公司股票时,值得记住可能会面临公司倒闭的可能性,您可能会亏钱。但值得一提的是,如果您以正确价格购买高质量公司的股票,您可能获得超过100%的收益。一个很好的例子是西部矿业公司(SHSE:601168),其股价在五年内上涨了232%。过去一个季度股价上涨了16%也是一个好迹象。但这一动向很可能是由市场相对繁荣(90天内上涨了31%)提供支持的。
While this past week has detracted from the company's five-year return, let's look at the recent trends of the underlying business and see if the gains have been in alignment.
虽然过去的一周削弱了公司的五年回报,但让我们看看业务的最近趋势,并查看收益是否已对齐。
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
引用本杰明·格雷厄姆的话:在短期内,市场是投票机,但在长期内,市场是称重机。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和股票价格的时间变化,我们可以感受到投资者对公司的态度随时间而变化。
During the five years of share price growth, Western MiningLtd moved from a loss to profitability. That kind of transition can be an inflection point that justifies a strong share price gain, just as we have seen here. Given that the company made a profit three years ago, but not five years ago, it is worth looking at the share price returns over the last three years, too. We can see that the Western MiningLtd share price is up 43% in the last three years. During the same period, EPS grew by 13% each year. This EPS growth is remarkably close to the 13% average annual increase in the share price (over three years, again). That suggests that the market sentiment around the company hasn't changed much over that time. Arguably the share price is reflecting the earnings per share.
在股价增长的五年里,西部矿业有限公司走出了亏损,实现了盈利。这种转变可能是一个拐点,可以证明股价的强劲增长,就像我们在这里看到的那样。考虑到公司三年前实现了盈利,但五年前没有,值得看一看过去三年的股价回报。我们可以看到,西部矿业有限公司股价在过去三年内上涨了43%。与此同时,每年EPS增长了13%。这种EPS增长与股价(三年内 每年的13%平均涨幅)之间的接近是非常明显的。这表明市场对该公司的看法在这段时间内并没有发生太大变化。可以说股价反映了每股收益。
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
您可以看到EPS随时间的变化如下(通过单击图像了解确切数值)。
It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Western MiningLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
值得注意的是,CEO的薪酬低于类似规模公司的中位数。关注CEO的薪酬总是值得的,但更重要的问题是公司是否会在未来年份内增加盈利。通过查看西部矿业的盈利、营业收入和现金流的交互式图表,更深入地了解盈利情况。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Western MiningLtd, it has a TSR of 300% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑总股东回报率(TSR)和股价回报之间的差别。 TSR包括任何拆分或折让资本募集的价值,以及基于股息再投资的假设进行计算。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司,TSR通常比股价回报高得多。就西部矿业而言,过去5年的TSR为300%。 这超过了我们先前提到的股价回报。 毫无疑问,股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种差异!
A Different Perspective
另一种看法
It's good to see that Western MiningLtd has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 49% in the last twelve months. Of course, that includes the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 32%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Western MiningLtd you should know about.
很高兴看到西部矿业在过去十二个月中以49%的股东总回报奖励股东。当然,其中包括分红。这一增益优于过去五年的年度TSR,为32%。因此,最近公司周围的情绪似乎是积极的。持乐观态度的人可能会认为TSR的最近改善表明公司本身随着时间的推移正在变得更好。我发现将股价长期作为业务绩效的一种代理非常有趣。但要真正获得洞察力,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,考虑风险。每家公司都有风险,而我们已经发现了西部矿业的2个警示信号,您应该了解。
For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.
对于那些喜欢寻找获胜投资的人来说,最近有内部购买的低估公司免费列表可能是一个很好的选择。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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