Here's Why DaVita (NYSE:DVA) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Here's Why DaVita (NYSE:DVA) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that DaVita Inc. (NYSE:DVA) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
巴菲特旗下的弗氏基金经理人、李录(Charlie Munger)直言不讳地表示:"最大的投资风险不在于价格波动,而在于是否会遭受资本永久性损失。" 因此,聪明的资金知道,债务(通常与破产有关)是评估公司风险程度时非常重要的因素。我们注意到,德维特公司(纽交所:DVA)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但这笔债务对股东是否构成了担忧?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时有危险?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
当债务和其他负债对一家企业来说变得有风险时,要么不能轻松地通过自由现金流,要么不能以有吸引力的价格筹集资金来履行这些义务。资本主义的一个重要内容是"创造性破坏"的过程,失败的企业被它们的银行家无情地清算。然而,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的股价稀释股东,仅仅为了控制债务。当然,债务的好处是,它通常代表廉价资本,尤其是当它取代了公司可能以高回报率再投资的稀释。当我们考虑一家公司的债务使用时,我们首先看现金和债务合计。
How Much Debt Does DaVita Carry?
德维特负担了多少债务?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 DaVita had US$9.32b of debt, an increase on US$8.14b, over one year. However, it also had US$1.09b in cash, and so its net debt is US$8.23b.
您可以点击下面的图表查看历史数据,但截至2024年9月,德维特的债务高达93.2亿美元,较一年前的81.4亿美元有所增加。然而,其现金为10.9亿美元,因此净债务为82.3亿美元。
How Healthy Is DaVita's Balance Sheet?
戴维塔的资产负债表如何健康?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that DaVita had liabilities of US$2.94b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$12.3b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$1.09b in cash and US$2.63b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$11.6b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
放大最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到,戴维塔在12个月内到期的负债为29.4亿美元,而到期日超过12个月的负债为123亿美元。与此相抵消的是,它在12个月内拥有10.9亿美元的现金和26.3亿美元的应收账款。因此,它的负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款的总和多116亿美元。
This is a mountain of leverage even relative to its gargantuan market capitalization of US$12.7b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
这是一座债务负担的大山,甚至相对于其庞大的127亿美元的市值来说。这表明,如果公司需要急于弥补其资产负债表,股东可能会遭受严重稀释。
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
我们使用两个主要的比率来告诉我们相对于收益的债务水平。第一个是净债务除以利息、税、折旧和摊销前利润(EBITDA),而第二个是其利润前利息和税(EBIT)覆盖其利息费用的次数(或其利息覆盖率,简称)。因此,我们考虑与折旧和摊销费用相关的盈利以及没有相关费用的盈利相对于债务水平。
DaVita has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.1 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 3.7 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. Looking on the bright side, DaVita boosted its EBIT by a silky 32% in the last year. Like a mother's loving embrace of a newborn that sort of growth builds resilience, putting the company in a stronger position to manage its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if DaVita can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
戴维塔的债务与EBITDA比率为3.1,其EBIT覆盖了其利息开支的3.7倍。这表明,虽然债务水平显著,但我们不会称之为问题。从积极的一面来看,戴维塔在过去一年中将其EBIT提高了32%。像母亲温柔地拥抱新生婴儿那样的增长建立韧性,使公司能够更好地管理其债务。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解债务最多。但最终,企业未来的盈利能力将决定戴维塔是否能够随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您想了解专业人士的看法,您可能会发现对分析师盈利预测的免费报告很有趣。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, DaVita generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 81% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
最后,一家公司只能用冷硬现金偿付债务,而不是会计利润。因此,逻辑上的步骤是查看那些与实际自由现金流匹配的EBIT的比例。在过去三年中,戴维塔产生了非常健康的自由现金流,相当于其EBIT的81%,超出我们的预期。这使其能够在需要时偿还债务。
Our View
我们的观点
Both DaVita's ability to to convert EBIT to free cash flow and its EBIT growth rate gave us comfort that it can handle its debt. On the other hand, its level of total liabilities makes us a little less comfortable about its debt. We would also note that Healthcare industry companies like DaVita commonly do use debt without problems. Considering this range of data points, we think DaVita is in a good position to manage its debt levels. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - DaVita has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
达维塔既可以将EBIt转化为自由现金流,又具有EBIt增长率,这让我们相信它可以处理债务。另一方面,其总负债水平让我们对其债务稍感不安。我们还应注意,像达维塔这样的医疗行业公司通常可以毫无问题地使用债务。考虑到这些数据点的范围,我们认为达维塔在管理其债务水平方面处于一个良好的位置。但需要谨慎:我们认为债务水平足够高,需要持续监控。资产负债表显然是在分析债务时需要关注的重点领域。然而,并不是所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中-远非如此。例如-达维塔存在2个警示信号,我们认为您应该注意。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,立即发现我们独家的净现金增长股票列表。
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