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Is Trump Media Stock Heading Back to All-Time Highs?

Is Trump Media Stock Heading Back to All-Time Highs?

特朗普媒体股票是否正在回升至历史最高点?
The Motley Fool ·  11/13 09:12

Trump Media & Technology Group (NASDAQ: DJT) stock could become a hot buy after Donald Trump's election win last week. As the former president heads back to the Oval Office next year, there could be a lot more excitement around Trump Media stock and anything related to the Trump brand.

上周唐纳德·特朗普在大选中获胜后,特朗普媒体与科技集团(纳斯达克股票代码:DJT)的股票可能会成为热门买入。随着这位前总统明年重返椭圆形办公室,特朗普媒体的股票以及与特朗普品牌相关的任何事情可能会更加令人兴奋。

If there's also more traffic on Trump Media's social media platform Truth Social and its recently launched streaming service Truth+, investors could see improved results for the company. Is the stage set for this volatile stock to get back to the highs it reached earlier this year?

如果特朗普媒体的社交媒体平台Truth Social及其最近推出的流媒体服务Truth+也有更多流量,那么投资者可能会看到该公司的业绩改善。这只波动的股票恢复到今年早些时候的高点的舞台是否已经准备就绪?

Trading volumes in Trump Media have been picking up

特朗普媒体的交易量一直在回升

Earlier this year, Trump Media stock was rising in value as hopes appeared to be growing that Trump might win the election, and it was falling when that excitement seemed to be waning. Now that he won, a wave of bullishness could be ignited, leading to a more prolonged rally. Interest does appear to be picking up, as the trading volume of Trump Media stock increased significantly in recent days.

今年早些时候,由于人们对特朗普可能赢得大选的希望似乎越来越大,特朗普媒体的股票价值正在上涨,而当这种兴奋情绪似乎减弱时,该股的价值正在下跌。现在他赢了,一波看涨情绪可能会被点燃,从而导致更长的涨势。随着最近几天特朗普媒体股票的交易量大幅增加,利息似乎确实在回升。

big

DJT Volume data by YCharts.

yCharts 的 DjT 音量数据。

The big question is whether the social media stock will trade like a cryptocurrency and become a gauge of Trump's overall popularity (and perhaps approval as president), or if its valuation will ultimately depend on how strong and successful the underlying business is. If it's the former, the possibility exists that the stock will hit its high of $79.38, but if it's the latter, that may be a less likely scenario.

最大的问题是,社交媒体股票是否会像加密货币一样交易,成为衡量特朗普整体知名度(可能还包括总统支持率)的指标,或者其估值最终是否将取决于基础业务的强大和成功程度。如果是前者,则该股有可能触及79.38美元的高位,但如果是后者,则可能性较小。

Trump Media is still a risky investment

特朗普媒体仍然是一项风险投资

On Election Day, Trump Media posted its most recent quarterly results. The company, which owns Truth Social, reported net sales of just over $1 million for the period ending Sept. 30, which was a 6% decline year over year. That's not what you would expect for a growing business.

在选举日,特朗普媒体发布了其最新的季度业绩。该公司拥有Truth Social,该公司报告称,截至9月30日的净销售额略高于100万美元,同比下降6%。对于成长中的企业,这不是你所期望的。

Its operating loss swelled to $23.7 million from just $3 million in the same period a year earlier. The company's general and administrative expenses jumped from $1.5 million in the prior-year period to $17.7 million this quarter, as Trump Media experienced an increase in legal, software, accounting, and finance fees.

其营业亏损从去年同期的300万美元激增至2370万美元。由于特朗普媒体的法律、软件、会计和财务费用增加,该公司的一般和管理费用从去年的150万美元跃升至本季度的1770万美元。

The timing of the underwhelming results may have been convenient, as Trump Media's earnings weren't the biggest Trump-related news on the day. But the numbers are important to consider, nonetheless, as they underscore the risk that comes with investing in the business. If Trump Media's expenses are increasing significantly and it's not able to generate meaningful growth, it could be difficult to see the stock rise in value, based on its fundamentals, or be optimistic about its future growth prospects.

业绩不佳的时机可能很方便,因为特朗普媒体的财报并不是当天与特朗普有关的最大新闻。但是,尽管如此,这些数字还是值得考虑的,因为它们凸显了投资业务所带来的风险。如果特朗普媒体的支出大幅增加,无法实现有意义的增长,那么根据其基本面,可能很难看到该股的价值上涨,也很难对其未来的增长前景持乐观态度。

Should you buy Trump Media stock?

你应该买特朗普媒体的股票吗?

Trump Media may seem like a stock that should benefit from Trump's election win, but that's by no means a sure thing. In the days following the election, the stock dropped in value by a few dollars per share.

特朗普媒体似乎是一只应该从特朗普大选胜利中受益的股票,但这绝不是一件确定的事情。在大选后的几天里,该股的价值每股下跌了几美元。

How it performs from here can be difficult to predict. It's been trading more like a cryptocurrency and speculative buy than a typical stock this year. It's difficult to justify the stock's market cap of $6.6 billion based on its financial performance and growth prospects.

从现在开始,它的表现可能很难预测。今年,它的交易更像是加密货币和投机性买入,而不是普通股票。根据其财务表现和增长前景,很难证明该股市值为66亿美元的合理性。

Trump Media stock may get back to its highs, but if it does, it likely won't be because the business has been generating strong results — it'll be due to speculation. That's why I wouldn't suggest buying the stock, as it's a highly risky investment with an uncertain future.

特朗普媒体的股票可能会回到高点,但如果回到了高点,那可能不是因为该业务取得了强劲的业绩,而是投机所致。这就是为什么我不建议买入这只股票,因为这是一项高风险的投资,前景不确定。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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