Guangdong Hotata Technology GroupLtd (SHSE:603848) Jumps 7.0% This Week, Though Earnings Growth Is Still Tracking Behind Five-year Shareholder Returns
Guangdong Hotata Technology GroupLtd (SHSE:603848) Jumps 7.0% This Week, Though Earnings Growth Is Still Tracking Behind Five-year Shareholder Returns
When you buy and hold a stock for the long term, you definitely want it to provide a positive return. Better yet, you'd like to see the share price move up more than the market average. But Guangdong Hotata Technology Group Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603848) has fallen short of that second goal, with a share price rise of 11% over five years, which is below the market return. The last year has been disappointing, with the stock price down 6.6% in that time.
当你长期持有一只股票时,你肯定希望它能带来正收益。更好的是,你希望看到股价上涨超过市场平均水平。然而,好太太科技集团有限公司(SHSE:603848)在这一第二目标上没有达标,五年间股价上涨了11%,低于市场回报。在过去的一年中,表现令人失望,股价下降了6.6%。
On the back of a solid 7-day performance, let's check what role the company's fundamentals have played in driving long term shareholder returns.
在稳定的七天表现之后,让我们看看公司的基本面对长期股东回报的影响。
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
在他的文章《格雷厄姆和道德斯维尔的超级投资者》中,沃伦·巴菲特描述了股价并不总是理性反映公司价值的方式。检查市场情绪如何随时间变化的一种方式是查看公司股价与每股收益(EPS)之间的互动。
Over half a decade, Guangdong Hotata Technology GroupLtd managed to grow its earnings per share at 1.9% a year. This EPS growth is reasonably close to the 2% average annual increase in the share price. Therefore one could conclude that sentiment towards the shares hasn't morphed very much. Indeed, it would appear the share price is reacting to the EPS.
在过去的五年中,好太太科技集团有限公司的每股收益年增长率为1.9%。这一每股收益的增长与股价年均增长2%相近。因此,可以得出结论,市场对该股票的情绪变化不大。实际上,股价似乎正在对每股收益作出反应。
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
该公司的每股收益(随时间的推移)如下图所示(单击可查看确切数字)。
Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.
在购买或出售股票之前,我们始终建议对历史增长趋势进行仔细研究,可以在这里找到相关信息。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Guangdong Hotata Technology GroupLtd, it has a TSR of 21% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑总股东回报(TSR)与股价回报之间的差异。股价回报仅反映股价的变化,而TSR则包括分红的价值(假设被再投资)以及任何折扣资本筹集或分拆的好处。可以公平地说,TSR为支付分红的股票提供了一个更完整的画面。就好太太而言,过去5年它的TSR为21%。这一数字超过了我们之前提到的股价回报。而且毫无疑问,分红派息在很大程度上解释了这个差异!
A Different Perspective
另一种看法
Investors in Guangdong Hotata Technology GroupLtd had a tough year, with a total loss of 4.4% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 11%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 4% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. Before forming an opinion on Guangdong Hotata Technology GroupLtd you might want to consider these 3 valuation metrics.
好太太的投资者经历了艰难的一年,总损失为4.4%(包括分红),而市场收益约为11%。然而,请记住,即使是最好的股票,有时在十二个月的期间内也会表现不佳。值得庆幸的是,长期股东获得了收益,五年内每年增值4%。如果基本数据持续指向长期可持续增长,目前的卖出潮可能是一个值得考虑的机会。在对好太太形成意见之前,您可能想考虑这3个估值指标。
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
当然,您可能通过在其他地方寻找会找到一笔极好的投资。因此,请查看我们预计会增长收入的公司免费名单。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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