Does Hangzhou Changchuan TechnologyLtd (SZSE:300604) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Does Hangzhou Changchuan TechnologyLtd (SZSE:300604) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Hangzhou Changchuan Technology Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300604) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
大卫·伊本说得好,他说:“波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久损失。”因此,当你评估公司的风险时,看来聪明的货币知道债务(通常涉及破产)是一个非常重要的因素。我们可以看到杭州长川科技股份有限公司, Ltd(深圳证券交易所代码:300604)确实在其业务中使用债务。但是,股东是否应该担心其债务的使用?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时危险?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
债务可以帮助企业,直到企业难以偿还债务,无论是新资本还是自由现金流。资本主义的组成部分是 “创造性破坏” 过程,在这种过程中,倒闭的企业被银行家无情地清算。尽管这种情况并不常见,但我们经常会看到负债公司永久稀释股东,因为贷款人迫使他们以不良价格筹集资金。但是,通过取代稀释,债务可以成为需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业的极好工具。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,要做的第一件事是同时考虑其现金和债务。
How Much Debt Does Hangzhou Changchuan TechnologyLtd Carry?
杭州长川科技有限公司背负了多少债务?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Hangzhou Changchuan TechnologyLtd had CN¥1.08b of debt, an increase on CN¥910.3m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥1.04b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥44.3m.
你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示,截至2024年9月,杭州长川科技有限公司在一年内有10.8元人民币的债务,比91030万加元人民币有所增加。但是,由于其现金储备为10.4元人民币,其净负债较少,约为4430万元人民币。
How Healthy Is Hangzhou Changchuan TechnologyLtd's Balance Sheet?
杭州长川科技有限公司的资产负债表有多健康?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Hangzhou Changchuan TechnologyLtd had liabilities of CN¥2.54b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥443.7m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.04b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.50b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥450.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
根据上次报告的资产负债表,杭州长川科技有限公司的负债为25.4元人民币,12个月后到期的负债为44370万元人民币。除了这些债务外,它还有10.4元人民币的现金和价值15元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它的负债总额为45070万元人民币,超过了现金和短期应收账款的总和。
This state of affairs indicates that Hangzhou Changchuan TechnologyLtd's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the CN¥32.9b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. But either way, Hangzhou Changchuan TechnologyLtd has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
这种状况表明,杭州长川科技有限公司的资产负债表看起来相当稳健,因为其总负债几乎等于其流动资产。因此,这家329元人民币的公司现金短缺的可能性很小,但仍然值得关注资产负债表。但是无论如何,杭州长川科技有限公司几乎没有净负债,因此可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
我们通过以下方法来衡量公司的债务负担与其盈利能力:将其净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),并计算其利息和税前收益(EBIT)支付利息支出(利息保障)的难易程度。这样,我们既考虑债务的绝对数量,也考虑为债务支付的利率。
With debt at a measly 0.085 times EBITDA and EBIT covering interest a whopping 48.6 times, it's clear that Hangzhou Changchuan TechnologyLtd is not a desperate borrower. So relative to past earnings, the debt load seems trivial. Better yet, Hangzhou Changchuan TechnologyLtd grew its EBIT by 1,667% last year, which is an impressive improvement. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hangzhou Changchuan TechnologyLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
债务仅为息税折旧摊销前利润的0.085倍,息税前利润覆盖率高达48.6倍,很明显,杭州长川科技有限公司并不是一个绝望的借款人。因此,相对于过去的收益,债务负担似乎微不足道。更好的是,杭州长川科技有限公司去年的息税前利润增长了1,667%,这是一个令人印象深刻的改善。如果这种增长得以维持,将使未来几年的债务更加易于管理。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但最终,该业务未来的盈利能力将决定杭州长川科技有限公司能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Hangzhou Changchuan TechnologyLtd saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
最后,公司只能用冷硬现金偿还债务,不能用会计利润偿还债务。因此,合乎逻辑的步骤是研究该息税前利润与实际自由现金流相匹配的比例。在过去的三年中,杭州长川科技有限公司的自由现金流总额为负数。尽管投资者无疑预计这种情况将在适当的时候逆转,但这显然意味着其使用债务的风险更大。
Our View
我们的观点
The good news is that Hangzhou Changchuan TechnologyLtd's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But we must concede we find its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow has the opposite effect. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Hangzhou Changchuan TechnologyLtd is pretty sensible with its use of debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Hangzhou Changchuan TechnologyLtd .
好消息是,杭州长川科技有限公司表现出的用息税前利润支付利息支出的能力使我们感到高兴,就像毛茸茸的小狗对待幼儿一样。但是我们必须承认,我们发现其将息税前利润转换为自由现金流会产生相反的效果。当我们考虑上述一系列因素时,杭州长川科技有限公司使用债务似乎相当明智。这意味着他们正在承担更多的风险,希望提高股东的回报。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。为此,你应该注意我们在杭州长川科技有限公司发现的两个警告标志。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果你有兴趣投资能够在没有债务负担的情况下增加利润的企业,请查看这份资产负债表上有净现金的成长型企业的免费清单。
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