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Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About Wens Foodstuff Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300498)?

Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About Wens Foodstuff Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300498)?

股票下跌,财务状况良好:市场对温氏股份股份有限公司(SZSE:300498)的判断是否正确?
Simply Wall St ·  11/13 17:38

It is hard to get excited after looking at Wens Foodstuff Group's (SZSE:300498) recent performance, when its stock has declined 5.2% over the past three months. However, the company's fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. Specifically, we decided to study Wens Foodstuff Group's ROE in this article.

在看到温氏股份(SZSE:300498)最近的表现后,难以激动,因为其股票在过去三个月内下跌了5.2%。然而,这家公司的基本面看起来相当不错,长期财务状况通常与未来市场价格走势一致。具体而言,我们决定在这篇文章中研究温氏股份的roe。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

股东权益回报率ROE是测试公司增值能力和管理股东投资的有效性的指标。更简单地说,它衡量公司在股东权益中的盈利能力。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股东权益报酬率?

The formula for ROE is:

roe的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(来自持续经营) ÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Wens Foodstuff Group is:

因此,根据上述公式,温氏股份的roe为:

11% = CN¥4.8b ÷ CN¥42b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

11% = CN¥48亿 ÷ CN¥420亿(基于截至2024年9月的过去十二个月数据)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.11 in profit.

“回报率”即过去12个月的利润。也就是说,对于每一元股东资本,公司创造了0.11元的利润。

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

roe与盈利增长有何关系?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我们已经确定,roe可以作为一种有效的衡量公司未来盈利能力的指标。现在我们需要评估公司再投资或“保留”的利润有多少,这就给我们提供了有关公司增长潜力的想法。假设其他一切不变,roe和利润保留率越高,公司的增长率就越高,而不一定具备这些特征的公司相比。

A Side By Side comparison of Wens Foodstuff Group's Earnings Growth And 11% ROE

温氏股份的收益增长与11% roe的并排比较

At first glance, Wens Foodstuff Group seems to have a decent ROE. Especially when compared to the industry average of 7.6% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. For this reason, Wens Foodstuff Group's five year net income decline of 35% raises the question as to why the high ROE didn't translate into earnings growth. Therefore, there might be some other aspects that could explain this. Such as, the company pays out a huge portion of its earnings as dividends, or is faced with competitive pressures.

乍一看,温氏股份似乎拥有不错的roe。尤其是与行业平均7.6%相比,该公司的roe看起来相当令人印象深刻。因此,温氏股份五年来净利润下降35%引发了一个问题:为什么高roe没有转化为收益增长。因此,可能还有其他方面可以解释这一现象,例如,公司支付了很大一部分收益作为分红派息,或者面临竞争压力。

However, when we compared Wens Foodstuff Group's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 2.5% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

然而,当我们将温氏股份的增长与行业进行比较时发现,尽管公司的收益一直在缩减,但在同一时期,行业的收益增长达到了2.5%。这让人颇感忧虑。

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SZSE:300498 Past Earnings Growth November 13th 2024
SZSE:300498 历史收益增长 2024年11月13日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about Wens Foodstuff Group's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

对公司的估值基础在很大程度上与其盈利增长相关。投资者应该尝试确定预期的盈利增长或下降,无论是哪种情况,是否已经反映在价格中。通过这样做,他们将了解该股票是进入了开阔的沃特世,还是面临阴暗的沼泽。如果你想了解温氏股份的估值,可以查看其市盈率与行业的比较。

Is Wens Foodstuff Group Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

温氏股份是否有效利用其留存收益?

When we piece together Wens Foodstuff Group's low three-year median payout ratio of 2.2% (where it is retaining 98% of its profits), calculated for the last three-year period, we are puzzled by the lack of growth. This typically shouldn't be the case when a company is retaining most of its earnings. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For example, the company's business may be deteriorating.

当我们将温氏股份在过去三年中低至2.2%的中位留存比例(即公司保持98%的利润)拼凑在一起时,我们对缺乏增长感到困惑。当一家公司留存大部分盈利时,这通常不应该是情况。因此,可能还有其他解释。例如,公司的业务可能正在恶化。

Additionally, Wens Foodstuff Group has paid dividends over a period of eight years, which means that the company's management is rather focused on keeping up its dividend payments, regardless of the shrinking earnings.

此外,温氏股份在八年的时间里支付了分红,这意味着公司的管理层相当专注于维持分红支付,尽管盈利在下降。

Summary

总结

On the whole, we do feel that Wens Foodstuff Group has some positive attributes. However, given the high ROE and high profit retention, we would expect the company to be delivering strong earnings growth, but that isn't the case here. This suggests that there might be some external threat to the business, that's hampering its growth. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

总体而言,我们确实认为温氏股份有一些积极的特征。然而,考虑到高roe和高利润留存,我们本期待公司能实现强劲的盈利增长,但事实并非如此。这表明可能存在一些外部威胁影响着业务,阻碍其增长。话虽如此,查看当前的分析师预期,我们发现公司盈利增长率有望大幅改善。要了解更多关于公司最新的分析师预测,请查看这张公司分析师预测的可视化图。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章是一般性质的。我们仅基于历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,使用公正的方法,我们的文章并非意在提供财务建议。这并不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,并且不考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您带来基于基础数据驱动的长期聚焦分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St对提及的任何股票都没有持仓。

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