Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Universe Pharmaceuticals INC (NASDAQ:UPC) share price has dived 44% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 79% loss during that time.
After such a large drop in price, Universe Pharmaceuticals' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Pharmaceuticals industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.7x and even P/S above 15x are quite common. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
NasdaqCM:UPC Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 14th 2024
How Has Universe Pharmaceuticals Performed Recently?
For example, consider that Universe Pharmaceuticals' financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Universe Pharmaceuticals, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is Universe Pharmaceuticals' Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Universe Pharmaceuticals' to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 22% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 31% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 22% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this in mind, we understand why Universe Pharmaceuticals' P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
What We Can Learn From Universe Pharmaceuticals' P/S?
Universe Pharmaceuticals' P/S looks about as weak as its stock price lately. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
It's no surprise that Universe Pharmaceuticals maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.
Plus, you should also learn about these 4 warning signs we've spotted with Universe Pharmaceuticals.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Universe Pharmaceuticals, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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