Gulf Island Fabrication, Inc. (NASDAQ:GIFI) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 27% share price jump in the last month. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 75%.
Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Gulf Island Fabrication's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x is worth a mention when the median P/S in the United States' Energy Services industry is similar at about 0.9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
How Gulf Island Fabrication Has Been Performing
Revenue has risen firmly for Gulf Island Fabrication recently, which is pleasing to see. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this respectable revenue growth might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Gulf Island Fabrication's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Gulf Island Fabrication's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 15%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 84% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.
When compared to the industry's one-year growth forecast of 6.4%, the most recent medium-term revenue trajectory is noticeably more alluring
With this information, we find it interesting that Gulf Island Fabrication is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.
The Bottom Line On Gulf Island Fabrication's P/S
Gulf Island Fabrication appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
To our surprise, Gulf Island Fabrication revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't contributing to its P/S as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. There could be some unobserved threats to revenue preventing the P/S ratio from matching this positive performance. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Gulf Island Fabrication has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Gulf Island Fabrication, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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