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We Think You Can Look Beyond Dynatrace's (NYSE:DT) Lackluster Earnings

We Think You Can Look Beyond Dynatrace's (NYSE:DT) Lackluster Earnings

我们认为你可以看得更远,超越Dynatrace(纽交所:DT)的低迷收益
Simply Wall St ·  11/14 08:26

The most recent earnings report from Dynatrace, Inc. (NYSE:DT) was disappointing for shareholders. While the headline numbers were soft, we believe that investors might be missing some encouraging factors.

Dynatrace, Inc.(纽交所:DT)最近的财报让股东感到失望。虽然主要数字表现不佳,但我们认为投资者可能忽视了一些积极因素。

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NYSE:DT Earnings and Revenue History November 14th 2024
纽交所:Dt 收益和营业收入历史 2024年11月14日

A Closer Look At Dynatrace's Earnings

深入分析Dynatrace的收益

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

许多投资者没有听说过现金流量净额的应计比率,但它实际上是衡量公司利润在一个给定期间内是否有自由现金流(FCF)支持的有用指标。我们首先将FCF从一个期间的利润中减去,然后将该数字除以该期间的平均营运资产。这个比率告诉我们,公司利润有多少不是由自由现金流支持的。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,当一家公司的应计比率变为负数时,这实际上是一件好事,但如果应计比率是正数,则是一件坏事。虽然应计比率为正数并不是问题,这表明一定程度的非现金利润,但高应计比率被认为是一件坏事,因为它表明纸面利润无法与现金流相匹配。值得注意的是,一些学术证据表明,高应计比率通常是近期利润的一个不好的迹象。

Over the twelve months to September 2024, Dynatrace recorded an accrual ratio of -0.24. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of US$436m, well over the US$163.3m it reported in profit. Dynatrace shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.

在截至2024年9月的十二个月中,Dynatrace记录了-0.24的应计比率。这表明其自由现金流显著超过了法定利润。确实,在过去的十二个月中,它报告的自由现金流为43600万美元,远超其报告的16330万美元利润。Dynatrace的股东毫无疑问会对过去十二个月自由现金流的改善感到满意。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让您想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看基于其估计的未来盈利能力的互动图表。

Our Take On Dynatrace's Profit Performance

我们对dynatrace盈利表现的看法

Happily for shareholders, Dynatrace produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that Dynatrace's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! And on top of that, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. Ultimately, this article has formed an opinion based on historical data. However, it can also be great to think about what analysts are forecasting for the future. Luckily, you can check out what analysts are forecasting by clicking here.

幸运的是,对于股东来说,dynatrace产生了丰富的自由现金流来支持其法定利润数字。基于这一观察,我们认为dynatrace的法定利润实际上低估了其盈利潜力!此外,其每股收益在过去三年中以极为令人印象深刻的速度增长。当然,在分析其盈利时,我们只触及了表面;还可以考虑利润率、预测增长和投资回报率等其他因素。最终,这篇文章基于历史数据形成了一个观点。然而,考虑分析师对未来的预测也是很好的。幸运的是,您可以点击这里查看分析师的预测。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Dynatrace's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

这篇文章只关注了一个能够说明dynatrace盈利性质的单一因素。但还有许多其他方法可以帮助您了解一家公司。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的良好标志。虽然这可能需要您进行一些研究,但您可能会发现这一免费高股本回报率公司集合,或者这一内部持股显著的股票列表对您有帮助。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章是一般性质的。我们仅基于历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,使用公正的方法,我们的文章并非意在提供财务建议。这并不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,并且不考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您带来基于基础数据驱动的长期聚焦分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St对提及的任何股票都没有持仓。

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