Despite an already strong run, LUSTER LightTech Co., LTD. (SHSE:688400) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 29% in the last thirty days. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 3.1% in the last twelve months.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, there still wouldn't be many who think LUSTER LightTech's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.9x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's Electronic industry is similar at about 4.6x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
How Has LUSTER LightTech Performed Recently?
While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, LUSTER LightTech's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. Perhaps the market is expecting its poor revenue performance to improve, keeping the P/S from dropping. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on LUSTER LightTech.
Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For LUSTER LightTech?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like LUSTER LightTech's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 13%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 5.6% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 23% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 27% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that LUSTER LightTech's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
What Does LUSTER LightTech's P/S Mean For Investors?
LUSTER LightTech's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Our look at the analysts forecasts of LUSTER LightTech's revenue prospects has shown that its inferior revenue outlook isn't negatively impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for LUSTER LightTech you should know about.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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