Zhejiang Jindun Fans Co., Ltd (SZSE:300411) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 29% gain in the last month alone. The annual gain comes to 134% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.
After such a large jump in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Machinery industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.2x, you may consider Zhejiang Jindun Fans as a stock not worth researching with its 13.7x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
How Has Zhejiang Jindun Fans Performed Recently?
Zhejiang Jindun Fans has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Zhejiang Jindun Fans will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Zhejiang Jindun Fans?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Zhejiang Jindun Fans' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 9.7% gain to the company's revenues. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 26% overall drop in revenue. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that Zhejiang Jindun Fans is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Zhejiang Jindun Fans' P/S?
Shares in Zhejiang Jindun Fans have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Zhejiang Jindun Fans currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Zhejiang Jindun Fans (1 is a bit concerning) you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Zhejiang Jindun Fans, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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