Gansu Shangfeng CementLtd (SZSE:000672) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet
Gansu Shangfeng CementLtd (SZSE:000672) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Gansu Shangfeng Cement Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000672) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
传奇基金经理李路(得到了查理·芒格的支持)曾经说过,'最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久性资本损失。' 当您评估风险时,自然要考虑一家公司的资产负债表,因为债务往往是业务崩溃时所涉及的。重要的是,甘肃上峰水泥股份有限公司(SZSE:000672)的确负债。但股东们应该担心其使用债务吗?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
为什么债务会带来风险?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
直到业务通过新资本或自由现金流偿还债务,债务才能帮助业务。资本主义的一个不可缺少的部分是“创造性破坏”过程,倒闭的企业会被银行无情地清算。然而,一个更普遍(但仍然令人痛苦)的场景是,它不得不以较低的价格筹集新的股本资金,从而永久地稀释股东。不过,通过取代稀释,债务可以成为需要高回报率投资增长资本的企业的极好工具。在审查债务水平时,我们首先考虑现金和债务水平。
How Much Debt Does Gansu Shangfeng CementLtd Carry?
甘肃上峰水泥有多少债务?
As you can see below, Gansu Shangfeng CementLtd had CN¥4.51b of debt, at September 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. But it also has CN¥4.82b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥305.1m net cash.
正如下面所示,2024年9月,甘肃上峰水泥的债务达到了45.1亿元人民币,与前一年大致相同。您可以单击图表以获取更详细的信息。但它也有48.2亿元现金来抵消这笔债务,这意味着其净现金为30510万元人民币。
A Look At Gansu Shangfeng CementLtd's Liabilities
甘肃上峰水泥有限公司的负债情况
The latest balance sheet data shows that Gansu Shangfeng CementLtd had liabilities of CN¥5.34b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥2.94b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥4.82b in cash and CN¥1.00b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥2.46b.
最新的资产负债表数据显示,甘肃上峰水泥有限公司有偿还期限在一年内的负债为53.4亿元人民币,而之后到期的负债为29.4亿元人民币。相比之下,它拥有48.2亿元人民币的现金和10亿元人民币的应收账款,这些在12个月内到期。因此,其负债比现金和(短期)应收账款的总和多出24.6亿元人民币。
This deficit isn't so bad because Gansu Shangfeng CementLtd is worth CN¥7.78b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Gansu Shangfeng CementLtd boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
这个赤字并不太糟糕,因为甘肃上峰水泥有限公司的价值为77.8亿元人民币,因此可能会筹集足够的资本来支撑其资产负债表,如果需要的话。但是我们肯定要保持警惕,以防其债务带来过多风险。尽管有值得注意的负债,甘肃上峰水泥有限公司拥有净现金,所以可以说它没有过重的债务负担!
In fact Gansu Shangfeng CementLtd's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 53% in the last twelve months. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Gansu Shangfeng CementLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
事实上,甘肃上峰水泥有限公司的救命稻草是其低债务水平,因为其EBIt在过去十二个月中下降了53%。营收下降(如果趋势持续)最终可能使即使是适度的债务变得相当风险。资产负债表显然是在分析债务时要重点关注的领域。但最终是未来的收入,而不仅仅是任何其他因素,将决定甘肃上峰水泥有限公司能否保持健康的资产负债表前景。因此,如果你专注于未来,可以查看这份免费报告,显示分析师的利润预测。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Gansu Shangfeng CementLtd may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Looking at the most recent three years, Gansu Shangfeng CementLtd recorded free cash flow of 49% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
最后,虽然税务部门可能喜欢会计利润,但放贷人只接受真金白银。甘肃上峰水泥有限公司的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但查看业务将其收益转化为自由现金流的能力有趣,因为这将影响其管理债务的需求和能力。查看最近三年,甘肃上峰水泥有限公司的自由现金流占EBIt的比例为49%,比我们预期的要弱。这种弱势的现金转换使其更难处理负债。
Summing Up
总之
While Gansu Shangfeng CementLtd does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥305.1m. So we don't have any problem with Gansu Shangfeng CementLtd's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Gansu Shangfeng CementLtd has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
尽管甘肃上峰水泥有更多的负债而非流动资产,但它还有30510万元人民币的净现金。所以,我们对甘肃上峰水泥的债务使用没有任何问题。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是明显的起点。然而,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中 - 远非如此。例如 - 甘肃上峰水泥有1个警示标识,我们认为您应该注意。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。
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