Investors in Hongfa Technology (SHSE:600885) Have Seen Notable Returns of 60% Over the Past Five Years
Investors in Hongfa Technology (SHSE:600885) Have Seen Notable Returns of 60% Over the Past Five Years
When we invest, we're generally looking for stocks that outperform the market average. And while active stock picking involves risks (and requires diversification) it can also provide excess returns. For example, long term Hongfa Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600885) shareholders have enjoyed a 53% share price rise over the last half decade, well in excess of the market return of around 24% (not including dividends). On the other hand, the more recent gains haven't been so impressive, with shareholders gaining just 12%, including dividends.
当我们投资时,通常寻找表现优于市场平均水平的股票。虽然积极的股票选择涉及风险(需要分散投资),但也可以提供额外的回报。例如,长期持有宏发股份股份有限公司(SHSE:600885)的股东过去五年中享受了53%的股价上涨,远远超过了市场回报率约24%(不包括分红)。另一方面,最近的涨幅并不那么令人印象深刻,股东仅获得了12%的回报,包括分红。
Let's take a look at the underlying fundamentals over the longer term, and see if they've been consistent with shareholders returns.
让我们长期看一下潜在的基本面,看看它们是否与股东回报一致。
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
市场有时无疑是高效的,但价格并不总是反映基础业务表现。 一种检查市场情绪如何随时间改变的方法是查看公司的股价与每股收益(EPS)之间的互动。
During five years of share price growth, Hongfa Technology achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 18% per year. The EPS growth is more impressive than the yearly share price gain of 9% over the same period. So one could conclude that the broader market has become more cautious towards the stock.
在五年的股价增长中,宏发股份实现了每股收益(EPS)的复合增长率为18%。EPS增长比同期每年9%的股价收益更令人印象深刻。因此,人们可以得出结论称整体市场对这支股票变得更加谨慎。
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
您可以看到EPS随时间的变化如下(通过单击图像了解确切数值)。
We know that Hongfa Technology has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? If you're interested, you could check this free report showing consensus revenue forecasts.
我们知道宏发股份最近已经改善了底线,但营业收入会增长吗?如果您感兴趣,您可以查看这份免费报告,其中显示了共识营业收入预测。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Hongfa Technology, it has a TSR of 60% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
对于任何给定的股票来说,考虑到股东的总回报以及股价回报是很重要的。TSR包含任何拆分或折价增资的价值,以及根据股息被再投资的假设而支付的任何股息。可以说TSR为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的画面。就宏发股份而言,过去5年TSR为60%。这超过了我们之前提到的股价回报。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!
A Different Perspective
另一种看法
We're pleased to report that Hongfa Technology shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 12% over one year. Of course, that includes the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 10%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Hongfa Technology .
我们很高兴地报告,宏发股份股东在过去一年内获得了总股东回报率为12%。当然,这包括股息。这一收益优于过去五年的年度TSR,为10%。因此,最近对该公司的看法似乎是积极的。鉴于股价的势头仍然强劲,值得更仔细地研究这支股票,以免错失机会。在考虑市场状况可能对股价产生的不同影响时,考虑影响更大的因素也是很重要的。为此,您应该注意我们发现的与宏发股份有关的1个警告信号。
But note: Hongfa Technology may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
但请注意:宏发股份可能不是最佳的股票买入选择。因此,请查看这份免费的有过去盈利增长(以及未来增长预测)的有趣公司名单。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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Simply Wall St的这篇文章是一般性质的。我们仅基于历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,使用公正的方法,我们的文章并非意在提供财务建议。这并不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,并且不考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您带来基于基础数据驱动的长期聚焦分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St对提及的任何股票都没有持仓。