The Inseego Corp. (NASDAQ:INSG) share price has softened a substantial 33% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Nonetheless, the last 30 days have barely left a scratch on the stock's annual performance, which is up a whopping 385%.
Even after such a large drop in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Inseego's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Communications industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.1x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
What Does Inseego's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Inseego could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S from falling. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.
Keen to find out how analysts think Inseego's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Inseego would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 14% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 35% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 3.4% during the coming year according to the three analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 10% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
With this information, we find it interesting that Inseego is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
What Does Inseego's P/S Mean For Investors?
Following Inseego's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
When you consider that Inseego's revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.
It is also worth noting that we have found 4 warning signs for Inseego (2 can't be ignored!) that you need to take into consideration.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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