Charles Schwab (NYSE:SCHW) Investors Are up 9.6% in the Past Week, but Earnings Have Declined Over the Last Five Years
Charles Schwab (NYSE:SCHW) Investors Are up 9.6% in the Past Week, but Earnings Have Declined Over the Last Five Years
When you buy and hold a stock for the long term, you definitely want it to provide a positive return. But more than that, you probably want to see it rise more than the market average. Unfortunately for shareholders, while the The Charles Schwab Corporation (NYSE:SCHW) share price is up 67% in the last five years, that's less than the market return. Some buyers are laughing, though, with an increase of 44% in the last year.
当你买入并持有一只股票较长时间时,你肯定希望它能带来正回报。但更重要的是,你可能希望看到它的涨幅超过市场平均水平。不幸的是,对于股东而言,虽然嘉信理财(纽交所:SCHW)在过去五年的股价上涨了67%,但仍低于市场回报。不过,某些买入者却在欢笑,因为他们在过去一年中上涨了44%。
Since it's been a strong week for Charles Schwab shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.
由于这一周对嘉信理财的股东来说表现强劲,让我们来看看长期基本面的趋势。
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
市场有时毫无疑问是有效的,但股票价格并不总是反映基本业务表现。一种有缺陷但合理的方法是比较每股收益(EPS)和股票价格,以评估围绕公司的情绪如何变化。
Charles Schwab's earnings per share are down 1.2% per year, despite strong share price performance over five years.
尽管股价在过去五年表现强劲,嘉信理财的每股收益每年下降1.2%。
By glancing at these numbers, we'd posit that the decline in earnings per share is not representative of how the business has changed over the years. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
通过观察这些数据,我们可以得出结论:每股收益下降并不代表业务在过去几年发生了变化。由于每股收益的变化似乎与股价的变化不相关,所以值得关注一些其他的指标。
We doubt the modest 1.2% dividend yield is attracting many buyers to the stock. In contrast revenue growth of 13% per year is probably viewed as evidence that Charles Schwab is growing, a real positive. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.
我们怀疑1.2%的分红派息收益率能吸引多少买家购买该股票。相反,13%的营业收入年增长率可能被视为嘉信理财正在增长的证据,这是一个真正的积极信号。在这种情况下,公司可能在牺牲当前的每股收益以推动增长。
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
您可以看到以下收益和营收的变化情况(通过单击图像了解精确值)。
We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. You can see what analysts are predicting for Charles Schwab in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.
我们认为公司内部人士在过去一年进行了大量购买是一个积极的信号。尽管如此,未来的收益对当前股东是否盈利将更为重要。您可以通过这个未来利润预测的互动图表看到分析师对嘉信理财的预测。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Charles Schwab the TSR over the last 5 years was 79%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
除了衡量股价回报外,投资者还应考虑总股东回报(TSR)。TSR包含任何分拆或折扣资本筹集的价值,以及任何分红派息,基于对分红派息再投资的假设。可以说,TSR提供了股市投资回报的更全面的图景。我们注意到,嘉信理财过去5年的TSR为79%,这比上面提到的股价回报更好。这主要是由于其分红支付!
A Different Perspective
另一种看法
It's good to see that Charles Schwab has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 46% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 12% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Charles Schwab better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Charles Schwab that you should be aware of before investing here.
很高兴看到嘉信理财在过去十二个月中为股东带来了46%的总股东回报。这包括了分红。这比过去五年年化回报12%要好,这意味着公司最近的表现更佳。持乐观态度的人可能会认为,最近在总股东回报上的改善表明业务本身随着时间在变好。长期跟踪股票价格表现总是很有趣。但为了更好地了解嘉信理财,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,我们发现了一个关于嘉信理财的警告信号,在这里投资之前,你应该了解。
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: most of them are flying under the radar).
如果您喜欢与管理层共同购买股票,那么您可能会喜欢这个免费的公司列表(提示:大多数公司没有受到关注)。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
请注意,本文所引述的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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