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The Five-year Decline in Earnings for Shandong Shuangyi Technology SZSE:300690) Isn't Encouraging, but Shareholders Are Still up 67% Over That Period

The Five-year Decline in Earnings for Shandong Shuangyi Technology SZSE:300690) Isn't Encouraging, but Shareholders Are Still up 67% Over That Period

山东双一科技(深交所:300690)的五年盈余下降并不令人鼓舞,但在此期间股东仍然获得了67%的收益。
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/16 07:14

Generally speaking the aim of active stock picking is to find companies that provide returns that are superior to the market average. Buying under-rated businesses is one path to excess returns. For example, the Shandong Shuangyi Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300690) share price is up 52% in the last 5 years, clearly besting the market return of around 22% (ignoring dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 31% in the last year, including dividends.

一般来说,积极选股的目标是找到能够提供超越市场平均水平回报的公司。 买入被低估的企业是获取额外回报的一种途径。 例如,双一科技(SZSE:300690)的股价在过去五年上涨了52%,明显超过市场大约22%的回报(不考虑分红派息)。 然而,最近的回报并没有那么令人印象深刻,过去一年内股票回报仅为31%,包括分红派息。

While the stock has fallen 8.6% this week, it's worth focusing on the longer term and seeing if the stocks historical returns have been driven by the underlying fundamentals.

虽然本周股价下跌了8.6%,但值得关注的是,着眼于长期,看看股票的历史回报是否受到潜在基本面因素的影响。

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

虽然市场是一个强大的定价机制,但股价反映了投资者情绪,不仅仅是基本业绩。一种有缺陷但合理的评估公司周围情绪如何变化的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。

During five years of share price growth, Shandong Shuangyi Technology actually saw its EPS drop 11% per year.

在五年的股价增长中,双一科技的每股收益实际上每年下降了11%。

Essentially, it doesn't seem likely that investors are focused on EPS. Because earnings per share don't seem to match up with the share price, we'll take a look at other metrics instead.

基本上,投资者似乎并未关注每股收益。因为每股收益似乎与股价不匹配,所以我们将查看其他指标。

The modest 0.9% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. It is not great to see that revenue has dropped by 5.4% per year over five years. It certainly surprises us that the share price is up, but perhaps a closer examination of the data will yield answers.

温和的0.9%分红派息收益率不太可能支撑股价。看到营业收入在五年内下降了5.4%实在不太好。的确让我们感到惊讶的是股价上升,但也许对数据进行更仔细的检查会带来答案。

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下方图片中看到盈利和营业收入随时间的变化(单击图表查看准确数值)。

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SZSE:300690 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 15th 2024
SZSE:300690 每股收益和营业收入增长 2024年11月15日

Take a more thorough look at Shandong Shuangyi Technology's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

通过这份关于双一科技资产负债表的免费报告,更全面地了解其财务状况。

What About Dividends?

关于分红派息的问题

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Shandong Shuangyi Technology, it has a TSR of 67% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

考虑总股东回报以及任何特定股票的股价回报是很重要的。总股东回报将任何剥离或折价融资的价值与任何分红派息结合在一起,假设这些分红派息被再投资。可以公平地说,总股东回报对于那些支付分红派息的股票提供了更全面的图景。在双一科技的案例中,过去五年它的总股东回报达到67%。这超过了我们之前提到的股价回报。而且,不用猜测,分红派息的支付很大程度上解释了这种差异!

A Different Perspective

另一种看法

It's good to see that Shandong Shuangyi Technology has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 31% in the last twelve months. And that does include the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 11%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Shandong Shuangyi Technology better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Shandong Shuangyi Technology , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

很高兴看到双一科技在过去的十二个月里为股东带来了31%的总股东回报。而这其中包括分红。这个收益比五年来的年化总股东回报率11%要好。因此,最近对公司的情绪似乎是积极的。考虑到股价势头依然强劲,可能值得更仔细地关注这只股票,以免错过机会。长期跟踪股价表现总是很有趣。但要更好地了解双一科技,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。比如,始终存在的投资风险的威胁。我们已经确定了双一科技的两个警示信号,理解这些信号应该是你投资过程的一部分。

We will like Shandong Shuangyi Technology better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我们看到一些大宗内部买入,我们会更喜欢双一科技。在我们等待的同时,请查看这个免费的被低估股票列表(主要是小型股),其中有相当多的最近内部买入。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章是一般性质的。我们仅基于历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,使用公正的方法,我们的文章并非意在提供财务建议。这并不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,并且不考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您带来基于基础数据驱动的长期聚焦分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St对提及的任何股票都没有持仓。

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