Shandong Hontron Aluminum Industry Holding (SZSE:002379) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?
Shandong Hontron Aluminum Industry Holding (SZSE:002379) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Shandong Hontron Aluminum Industry Holding Company Limited (SZSE:002379) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
大卫·伊本说得很好,'波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久性损失。' 所以,当你考虑任何股票的风险时,考虑债务可能是显而易见的,因为过多的债务会淹没一家公司。我们可以看到,宏创控股有限公司(SZSE:002379)确实在其业务中使用债务。但真正的问题是,这种债务是否使公司变得风险重重。
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
债务带来了什么风险?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
债务是帮助企业成长的工具,但如果企业无法偿还其债权人,那么它将处于债权人的控制之下。资本主义的一部分是'创造性破坏'的过程,失败的企业会被银行无情地清算。然而,更常见(但仍然痛苦)的情况是,企业不得不以低价筹集新的股本,从而永久稀释股东的权益。当然,债务在企业中可以是一个重要工具,特别是在资本密集型企业中。当我们检查债务水平时,我们首先考虑现金和债务水平。
What Is Shandong Hontron Aluminum Industry Holding's Net Debt?
宏创控股的净债务是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Shandong Hontron Aluminum Industry Holding had debt of CN¥196.1m, up from CN¥148.0m in one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥838.1m in cash, leading to a CN¥641.9m net cash position.
下图(您可以点击以获取更详细信息)显示,到2024年9月,宏创控股的债务为19610万人民币,比一年前的14800万人民币有所增加。但另一方面,它还有83810万人民币的现金,导致净现金头寸为64190万人民币。

How Healthy Is Shandong Hontron Aluminum Industry Holding's Balance Sheet?
山东宏创控股的资产负债表健康吗?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shandong Hontron Aluminum Industry Holding had liabilities of CN¥1.24b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥118.9m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥838.1m as well as receivables valued at CN¥666.6m due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥144.5m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
仔细查看最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到山东宏创控股有到期以外12个月的负债为12.4亿人民币,超过12个月的负债为11890万人民币。抵消这些义务,它有现金83810万人民币以及到期12个月的应收账款价值为66660万人民币。因此,其流动资产实际上比总负债多14450万人民币。
Having regard to Shandong Hontron Aluminum Industry Holding's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So while it's hard to imagine that the CN¥8.42b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. Simply put, the fact that Shandong Hontron Aluminum Industry Holding has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Shandong Hontron Aluminum Industry Holding's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
考虑到山东宏创控股的规模,似乎其流动资产与总负债之间的平衡良好。因此,尽管很难想象这家市值84.2亿人民币的公司在现金方面陷入困境,但我们仍然认为监测其资产负债表是有价值的。简单来说,山东宏创控股的现金多于债务,这无疑是一个良好的迹象,表明它能安全管理其债务。在分析债务时,关注资产负债表显然是重点。但影响未来资产负债表表现的是山东宏创控股的盈利情况。如果你想了解更多关于其盈利的信息,查看这张长期盈利趋势图可能很有价值。
In the last year Shandong Hontron Aluminum Industry Holding wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 20%, to CN¥3.2b. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.
在过去的一年里,山东宏创控股在EBIT层面上并未盈利,但其营业收入增长了20%,达到了32亿人民币。希望公司能够实现盈利增长。
So How Risky Is Shandong Hontron Aluminum Industry Holding?
那么山东宏创控股的风险有多大?
By their very nature companies that are losing money are more risky than those with a long history of profitability. And the fact is that over the last twelve months Shandong Hontron Aluminum Industry Holding lost money at the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) line. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of CN¥21m and booked a CN¥115m accounting loss. But the saving grace is the CN¥641.9m on the balance sheet. That kitty means the company can keep spending for growth for at least two years, at current rates. Shandong Hontron Aluminum Industry Holding's revenue growth shone bright over the last year, so it may well be in a position to turn a profit in due course. Pre-profit companies are often risky, but they can also offer great rewards. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Shandong Hontron Aluminum Industry Holding is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
从本质上讲,亏损的公司比那些有着悠久盈利历史的公司更具风险。事实上,在过去的12个月里,山东宏创控股在息税前利润(EBIT)层面上出现了亏损。在同一时期,它还经历了2100万人民币的负自由现金流,并记录了11500万人民币的会计损失。但值得庆幸的是,资产负债表上有64190万人民币的资金。这笔资金意味着公司可以继续进行增长支出,至少持续两年。在过去一年中,山东宏创控股的营收增长表现出色,因此它可能在适当的时候能够实现盈利。未盈利的公司风险虽然很高,但也可能带来巨大的回报。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中获得了关于债务的大部分信息。然而,并非所有的投资风险都体现在资产负债表中,远非如此。请注意,山东宏创控股在我们的投资分析中显示出1个警示信号,你应该知道……
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
归根结底,专注于没有净债务的公司往往更好。你可以访问我们的特别公司列表(所有公司都有盈利增长的记录)。这是免费的。
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