Goldman Sachs Economist: Weight-Loss Drugs Could Be Key To US Economic Growth
Goldman Sachs Economist: Weight-Loss Drugs Could Be Key To US Economic Growth
A Goldman Sachs economist has suggested that the US economy could experience accelerated growth with increased use of GLP-1 weight-loss drugs like Ozempic.
高盛的一位经济学家表示,随着更多地使用 Ozempic 等 GLP-1 减肥药物,美国经济可能会加速增长。
What Happened: Jan Hatzius, chief economist at Goldman Sachs, has said that US GDP could potentially grow an additional 1% if 60 million Americans were to use GLP-1 drugs by 2028.
发生了什么:高盛首席经济学家扬·哈齐乌斯曾表示,如果到2028年有6000万美国人使用 GLP-1 药物,美国的国内生产总值可能会再增长1%。
Hatzius pointed out that health-related issues such as obesity often hinder people from participating in the labor force, thereby stunting economic growth, reports Business Insider.
据《商业内幕》报道,哈齐乌斯指出,肥胖等与健康相关的问题往往会阻碍人们参与劳动力队伍,从而阻碍经济增长。
He further highlighted that healthcare innovation could significantly reduce the economic costs associated with poor health.
他进一步强调,医疗创新可以显著降低与健康状况不佳相关的经济成本。
"Combining current losses in hours worked and labor force participation from sickness and disability, early deaths, and informal caregiving, we estimate that GDP would potentially be over 10% higher if poor health outcomes did not limit labor supply in the US," the outlet quoted Hatzius saying.
该媒体援引哈齐乌斯的话说:“结合目前因疾病和残疾、过早死亡和非正式护理造成的劳动力参与率的损失,我们估计,如果不良的健康状况不限制美国的劳动力供应,国内生产总值可能会增长10%以上。”
GLP-1 drugs, including Ozempic and Mounjaro, are manufactured by Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly and Company (NYSE:LLY) respectively. These drugs have proven effective in treating type 2 diabetes and obesity, leading to a surge in sales.
包括Ozempic和Mounjaro在内的 GLP-1 药物分别由诺和诺德和礼来公司(纽约证券交易所代码:LLY)生产。事实证明,这些药物可有效治疗2型糖尿病和肥胖症,从而导致销量激增。
Also Read: Eli Lilly's Mounjaro Outpaces Novo Nordisk's Ozempic In Weight Loss Effectiveness, Study Shows
另请阅读:研究表明,礼来公司的Mounjaro在减肥效果方面超过了诺和诺德的Ozempic
Given the U.S. obesity rate of approximately 40%, tens of millions of Americans could be prescribed GLP-1 drugs in the upcoming years. Hatzius believes that this could lead to substantial economic benefits, including increased productivity.
鉴于美国的肥胖率约为40%,未来几年可能会为数千万美国人开出 GLP-1 药物。哈齐乌斯认为,这可能会带来可观的经济效益,包括生产率的提高。
"The main reason we see meaningful upside from healthcare innovation is that poor health imposes significant economic costs. There are several channels through which poor health weighs on economic activity that could diminish if health outcomes improve," Hatzius said.
“我们看到医疗创新带来巨大好处的主要原因是,健康状况不佳会带来巨大的经济成本。哈齐乌斯说,健康状况不佳通过多种渠道影响经济活动,如果健康状况改善,这些渠道可能会减弱。”
"These estimates therefore suggest that obesity-related health complications subtract over 3% from per-capita output, implying an over 1% hit to total output when combined with the over 40% incidence of obesity in the US population," he added.
他补充说:“因此,这些估计表明,肥胖相关的健康并发症会从人均产出中减去3%以上,这意味着加上美国人口中超过40%的肥胖发病率,总产出的影响超过1%。”
Why It Matters: The increased use of GLP-1 drugs could not only address the health crisis related to obesity but also stimulate economic growth.
为何重要:GLP-1 药物使用量的增加不仅可以解决与肥胖相关的健康危机,还可以刺激经济增长。
With the U.S. grappling with high obesity rates, the potential for these drugs to improve health outcomes and boost labor force participation could have far-reaching implications for the economy.
随着美国努力应对高肥胖率,这些药物改善健康状况和提高劳动力参与度的潜力可能会对经济产生深远影响。
The surge in sales of these drugs also indicates a growing market, which could further contribute to economic growth.
这些药物销售的激增也表明市场正在增长,这可能进一步促进经济增长。
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This content was partially produced with the help of Benzinga Neuro and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
该内容部分是在Benzinga Neuro的帮助下制作的,并由Benzinga编辑审查和出版。
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