Advanced Drainage Systems (NYSE:WMS) Shareholders Are Still up 266% Over 5 Years Despite Pulling Back 3.5% in the Past Week
Advanced Drainage Systems (NYSE:WMS) Shareholders Are Still up 266% Over 5 Years Despite Pulling Back 3.5% in the Past Week
Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (NYSE:WMS) shareholders have seen the share price descend 16% over the month. But in stark contrast, the returns over the last half decade have impressed. We think most investors would be happy with the 257% return, over that period. So while it's never fun to see a share price fall, it's important to look at a longer time horizon. Of course, that doesn't necessarily mean it's cheap now.
Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc.(NYSE:WMS)的股东们看到股价在一个月内下降了16%。但截然不同的是,在过去的半个世纪里,回报令人印象深刻。我们认为大多数投资者对那段时间内的257%回报会感到满意。所以,虽然看到股价下跌从来都不是什么乐事,但重要的是要看着更长的时间跨度来分析。当然,这并不一定意味着现在就便宜。
While this past week has detracted from the company's five-year return, let's look at the recent trends of the underlying business and see if the gains have been in alignment.
虽然过去的一周削弱了公司的五年回报,但让我们看看业务的最近趋势,并查看收益是否已对齐。
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
引用本杰明·格雷厄姆的话:在短期内,市场是投票机,但在长期内,市场是称重机。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和股票价格的时间变化,我们可以感受到投资者对公司的态度随时间而变化。
During the five years of share price growth, Advanced Drainage Systems moved from a loss to profitability. That kind of transition can be an inflection point that justifies a strong share price gain, just as we have seen here. Since the company was unprofitable five years ago, but not three years ago, it's worth taking a look at the returns in the last three years, too. Indeed, the Advanced Drainage Systems share price has gained 0.7% in three years. During the same period, EPS grew by 34% each year. This EPS growth is higher than the 0.2% average annual increase in the share price over the same three years. Therefore, it seems the market has moderated its expectations for growth, somewhat.
在股价增长的五年期间,Advanced Drainage Systems从亏损转为盈利。这种转变可能是一个转折点,证明了股价的强劲增长,就像我们在这里看到的那样。由于该公司在五年前处于亏损状态,但在三年前就不再亏损,因此值得看一看过去三年的回报情况。事实上,Advanced Drainage Systems的股价在三年内上涨了0.7%。在同一时期,每年EPS增长了34%。这种EPS增长高于同一三年期间股价的平均年增长率0.2%。因此,市场似乎对增长的预期进行了一定程度的调整。
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下图显示了EPS随时间变化的情况(点击图像以显示确切值)。
We know that Advanced Drainage Systems has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.
我们知道Advanced Drainage Systems在过去三年里改善了其底线,但未来会有怎样的表现呢?您可以在这个免费互动图表中看到其资产负债表如何随时间而变得更强壮(或更脆弱)。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Advanced Drainage Systems, it has a TSR of 266% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
对于任何给定股票来说,考虑总股东回报以及股价回报是很重要的。股价回报仅反映了股价的变化,而TSR则包括了股息价值(假设它们被再投资)以及任何折扣资本筹集或剥离带来的收益。可以说,TSR给出了一幅更全面的股票收益图片。就Advanced Drainage Systems而言,它在过去5年中的TSR为266%。这超过了先前提到的股价回报。因此,公司支付的股息推高了总股东回报。
A Different Perspective
另一种看法
Advanced Drainage Systems provided a TSR of 10% over the last twelve months. But that was short of the market average. On the bright side, the longer term returns (running at about 30% a year, over half a decade) look better. It's quite possible the business continues to execute with prowess, even as the share price gains are slowing. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Advanced Drainage Systems better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Advanced Drainage Systems you should be aware of.
在过去的十二个月里,Advanced Drainage Systems提供了10%的TSR。但这低于市场平均水平。但值得一提的是,较长期的回报率(在过去的半个世纪间每年达到30%左右)看起来更好。这家企业可能会继续出色运作,尽管股价增长有所放缓。长期追踪股价表现总是很有趣。但要更好地理解Advanced Drainage Systems,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。具体案例:我们已经发现Advanced Drainage Systems存在1个警示信号,您应当注意。
Of course Advanced Drainage Systems may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.
当然,先进排水系统可能不是最佳的股票买入选择。因此,您可能希望查看这些免费的成长股集合。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
请注意,本文所引述的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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