Snap (NYSE:SNAP Shareholders Incur Further Losses as Stock Declines 12% This Week, Taking Three-year Losses to 79%
Snap (NYSE:SNAP Shareholders Incur Further Losses as Stock Declines 12% This Week, Taking Three-year Losses to 79%
While not a mind-blowing move, it is good to see that the Snap Inc. (NYSE:SNAP) share price has gained 12% in the last three months. But that is meagre solace in the face of the shocking decline over three years. Indeed, the share price is down a whopping 79% in the last three years. Arguably, the recent bounce is to be expected after such a bad drop. The thing to think about is whether the business has really turned around.
虽然这并不是一个令人惊叹的举动,但看到snap inc(纽交所:SNAP)股价在过去三个月上涨了12%还是令人高兴的。 但在面对过去三年令人震惊的下跌时,这显得微不足道。 实际上,股价在过去三年中暴跌了79%。 可以说,在如此巨大的下跌后,最近的反弹是意料之中的。 需要考虑的是这项业务是否真的好转。
With the stock having lost 12% in the past week, it's worth taking a look at business performance and seeing if there's any red flags.
股票在过去一周内下跌了12%,值得关注业务表现,以便查看是否存在任何红旗信号。
Snap wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.
在过去十二个月中,snap并没有实现盈利,因此我们不太可能看到其股价与每股收益(EPS)之间有强烈的关联性。 可以说,营业收入是我们下一个最佳选择。 一般来说,未盈利的公司每年都被期望能实现营业收入的增长,并且增长幅度相当可观。 这是因为快速的营业收入增长可以很容易地推测出盈利,往往规模可观。
In the last three years, Snap saw its revenue grow by 7.0% per year, compound. Given it's losing money in pursuit of growth, we are not really impressed with that. Nonetheless, it's fair to say the rapidly declining share price (down 21%, compound, over three years) suggests the market is very disappointed with this level of growth. While we're definitely wary of the stock, after that kind of performance, it could be an over-reaction. Of course, revenue growth is nice but generally speaking the lower the profits, the riskier the business - and this business isn't making steady profits.
在过去三年中,snap的营业收入每年复合增长7.0%。 鉴于其在追求增长的过程中亏损,我们对此并不太满意。 尽管如此,可以公正地说,迅速下跌的股价(在三年内下降21%,复合)表明市场对这个增长水平非常失望。 虽然我们对这只股票的表现确实感到谨慎,但经历过这种表现后,可能是过度反应。 当然,营业收入的增长是不错的,但一般来说,利润越低,业务的风险越大——而这项业务并没有产生稳定的利润。
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
以下图片显示了收益和营收随时间的变化(如果你点击图片,可以看到更详细的信息)。
We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. You can see what analysts are predicting for Snap in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.
我们高兴地报告,CEO的薪酬比大多数同类资本公司的CEO更为适中。关注CEO薪酬始终是值得的,但一个更重要的问题是公司是否会在未来几年中增长营业收入。您可以在这个互动图表中查看分析师对snap inc未来利润预估的预测。
A Different Perspective
另一种看法
While the broader market gained around 32% in the last year, Snap shareholders lost 11%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 5% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Snap you should be aware of.
虽然大盘在过去一年中上涨了约32%,但snap inc的股东却损失了11%。即便是好的股票,有时股价也会下跌,但在我们过于关注之前,我们希望看到业务的基本指标改善。不幸的是,去年的表现可能表明仍然存在未解决的挑战,因为它比过去五年的年化损失5%还要糟糕。一般来说,长期股价疲软可能是个坏兆头,不过逆向投资者可能希望研究这只股票,以期待反弹。我发现从长期来看观察股价作为业务表现的一个代理指标非常有趣。但要真正获得洞见,我们还需要考虑其他的信息。值得注意的是:我们发现了1个您应该注意的snap inc的警告信号。
But note: Snap may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
但请注意:snap inc可能不是最好的买入股票。因此,看看这个免费的有过去盈利增长(以及进一步增长预测)的有趣公司的列表。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
请注意,本文所引述的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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