Is State Grid Information & Communication (SHSE:600131) A Risky Investment?
Is State Grid Information & Communication (SHSE:600131) A Risky Investment?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that State Grid Information & Communication Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600131) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”因此,很明显,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,你需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务会使公司陷入困境。我们可以看到,国家电网信息通信有限公司(SHSE: 600131)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但是这笔债务是股东关心的问题吗?
When Is Debt A Problem?
债务何时会成为问题?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或利用自己的现金流轻松偿还债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。但是,更常见(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以支撑其资产负债表。当然,债务可以成为企业,尤其是资本密集型企业的重要工具。当我们检查债务水平时,我们首先要同时考虑现金和债务水平。
How Much Debt Does State Grid Information & Communication Carry?
国家电网信息与通信背负了多少债务?
As you can see below, State Grid Information & Communication had CN¥263.9m of debt, at September 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥2.22b in cash, so it actually has CN¥1.95b net cash.
如下所示,截至2024年9月,国家电网信息与通信有26390万元人民币的债务,与前一年大致相同。您可以单击图表以获取更多详细信息。但是,其资产负债表显示它持有22.2元人民币的现金,因此实际上拥有19.5元人民币的净现金。
A Look At State Grid Information & Communication's Liabilities
看看国家电网信息通信的负债
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that State Grid Information & Communication had liabilities of CN¥5.87b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥221.1m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥2.22b as well as receivables valued at CN¥6.31b due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥2.44b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
我们可以从最新的资产负债表中看出,国家电网信息与通信公司的负债为58.7元人民币,一年后到期的负债为22110万元人民币。除了这些债务外,它还有价值63.1元人民币的现金和价值63.1元的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它拥有比总负债多出24.4元人民币的流动资产。
This surplus suggests that State Grid Information & Communication has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Simply put, the fact that State Grid Information & Communication has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
这种盈余表明国家电网信息与通信的资产负债表保守,可以毫不费力地消除债务。简而言之,国家电网信息与通信的现金多于债务这一事实可以说是一个很好的迹象,表明它可以安全地管理债务。
Also good is that State Grid Information & Communication grew its EBIT at 16% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine State Grid Information & Communication's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
同样不错的是,国家电网信息与通信公司的息税前利润比去年增长了16%,进一步提高了其管理债务的能力。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,未来的收益比什么都重要,将决定国家电网信息与通信未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While State Grid Information & Communication has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, State Grid Information & Communication recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 87% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
但是我们最终的考虑因素也很重要,因为公司无法用纸面利润来偿还债务;它需要冷硬现金。尽管国家电网信息通信的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得一看其将利息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解其建立(或侵蚀)现金余额的速度有多快。在过去的三年中,国家电网信息通信记录的自由现金流相当于其息税前利润的87%,比我们通常预期的要强。如果需要的话,这有利于偿还债务。
Summing Up
总结
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case State Grid Information & Communication has CN¥1.95b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. The cherry on top was that in converted 87% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥970m. So we don't think State Grid Information & Communication's use of debt is risky. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of State Grid Information & Communication's earnings per share history for free.
尽管调查公司的债务始终是明智之举,但在这种情况下,国家电网信息通信的净现金为19.5元人民币,资产负债表看起来不错。最重要的是,它将息税前利润的87%转换为自由现金流,带来了97000万元人民币的收入。因此,我们认为国家电网信息与通信公司使用债务没有风险。除了大多数其他指标外,我们认为追踪每股收益的增长速度非常重要。如果你也意识到了这一点,那你很幸运,因为今天你可以免费查看这张国家电网信息与通信公司每股收益历史的交互式图表。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
毕竟,如果你对一家资产负债表坚如磐石的快速成长型公司更感兴趣,那么请立即查看我们的净现金增长股票清单。
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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。