Investing in Gen Digital (NASDAQ:GEN) a Year Ago Would Have Delivered You a 45% Gain
Investing in Gen Digital (NASDAQ:GEN) a Year Ago Would Have Delivered You a 45% Gain
These days it's easy to simply buy an index fund, and your returns should (roughly) match the market. But if you pick the right individual stocks, you could make more than that. For example, the Gen Digital Inc. (NASDAQ:GEN) share price is up 42% in the last 1 year, clearly besting the market return of around 30% (not including dividends). If it can keep that out-performance up over the long term, investors will do very well! Having said that, the longer term returns aren't so impressive, with stock gaining just 20% in three years.
这些天仅仅购买一个指数基金非常容易,你的回报应该(大致)与市场匹配。但如果你选择了正确的个别股票,你甚至可以赚取更多。例如,纳斯达克上的Gen Digital Inc.(NASDAQ:GEN)股价在过去一年上涨了42%,明显优于市场回报约30%(不包括分红)。如果它能在长期内保持这种优异表现,投资者将表现得非常好!话虽如此,长期回报并不那么令人印象深刻,股票在三年内仅上涨了20%。
So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 1 year and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.
那么让我们评估过去一年的基本面,并看看它们是否与股东回报同步变化。
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
虽然市场是一个强大的定价机制,但股价反映了投资者情绪,不仅仅是基本业绩。一种有缺陷但合理的评估公司周围情绪如何变化的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。
Over the last twelve months, Gen Digital actually shrank its EPS by 55%.
在过去的十二个月中,Gen Digital 其实将其每股收益缩水了55%。
So we don't think that investors are paying too much attention to EPS. Indeed, when EPS is declining but the share price is up, it often means the market is considering other factors.
因此,我们认为投资者并没有过多关注每股收益。实际上,当每股收益下降但股价上涨时,这通常意味着市场正在考虑其他因素。
We doubt the modest 1.7% dividend yield is doing much to support the share price. Revenue was pretty stable on last year, so deeper research might be needed to explain the share price rise.
我们怀疑1.7%的较低分红派息对支撑股价没有太大帮助。去年的营业收入相当稳定,因此可能需要进行更深入的研究来解释股价上涨。
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
以下图片显示了收益和营收随时间的变化(如果你点击图片,可以看到更详细的信息)。
![big](https://usnewsfile.moomoo.com/public/MM-PersistNewsContentImage/7781/20241118/0-ec7acd9f8eb12bde3ea4a92285635b48-0-9d7f45bdbd9ebad55b70f38b97af1b0a.png/big)
Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.
资产负债表实力非常重要。查看我们关于其财务状况如何随时间变化的免费报告可能非常值得。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Gen Digital the TSR over the last 1 year was 45%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
除了衡量股价回报外,投资者还应考虑总股东回报(TSR)。 TSR是一种回报计算,考虑了现金分红的价值(假设任何收到的分红都重新投资)以及任何折现的增资和分拆的计算价值。可以说TSR为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的图片。我们注意到,对于Gen Digital,过去1年的TSR为45%,优于上述股价回报。这在很大程度上是其分红派息的结果!
A Different Perspective
另一种看法
It's good to see that Gen Digital has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 45% in the last twelve months. Of course, that includes the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 18% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Gen Digital (1 shouldn't be ignored) that you should be aware of.
很高兴看到Gen Digital在过去十二个月内以45%的股东总回报奖励股东。当然,这包括了分红派息。由于一年的TSR优于五年的TSR(后者为每年18%),似乎股票表现近期有所改善。在最好的情况下,这可能暗示着一些真实的业务势头,这意味着现在可能是深入了解的好时机。我发现长期股价作为业绩的代理非常有趣。但要真正获得洞察力,我们也需要考虑其他信息。例如,我们已经确认了Gen Digital的4个警示信号(其中1个不应被忽视),你应该注意。
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
当然,您可能通过在其他地方寻找会找到一笔极好的投资。因此,请查看我们预计会增长收入的公司免费名单。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
请注意,本文所引述的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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Simply Wall St的这篇文章是一般性质的。我们仅基于历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,使用公正的方法,我们的文章并非意在提供财务建议。这并不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,并且不考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您带来基于基础数据驱动的长期聚焦分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St对提及的任何股票都没有持仓。