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Hootech Inc.'s (SZSE:301026) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

Hootech Inc.'s (SZSE:301026) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

Hootech Inc.(深交所:301026)的股票正在上涨,但财务状况看起来模糊:这种势头会持续吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/19 06:11

Hootech (SZSE:301026) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 31% over the last three months. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. In this article, we decided to focus on Hootech's ROE.

沃特世(SZSE:301026)在股市上表现出色,股价在过去三个月大幅上涨31%。然而,我们决定关注该公司的基本面,这些基本面似乎并没有给出关于公司财务健康状况的明确信号。在本文中,我们决定聚焦于沃特世的roe。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

roe或股东权益回报率是评估公司如何有效地从股东那里获得回报的有用工具。简而言之,它用于评估公司相对于其权益资本的盈利能力。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算净资产收益率?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股东权益报酬率可以使用以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(来自持续经营) ÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Hootech is:

所以,根据上述公式,沃特世的roe为:

6.4% = CN¥100m ÷ CN¥1.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

6.4% = CN¥10000万 ÷ CN¥16亿(截至2024年9月的最近十二个月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.06.

'回报'是每年的利润。因此,这意味着对于每个股东的1元投资,公司可以产生0.06元的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

ROE为什么对净利润增长很重要?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我们已经确定ROE作为一个高效的盈利规模可以评估公司未来的收益。根据公司选择再投资或保留多少利润,我们可以评估公司未来盈利的能力。假设其他所有条件均保持不变,ROE和利润留存率越高,相对于没有这些特点的公司,公司的增长率就越高。

Hootech's Earnings Growth And 6.4% ROE

沃特世的盈利增长和6.4%的roe

On the face of it, Hootech's ROE is not much to talk about. Yet, a closer study shows that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 7.5%. But then again, Hootech's five year net income shrunk at a rate of 2.7%. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. Therefore, the decline in earnings could also be the result of this.

乍看之下,沃特世的roe并没有什么值得谈论的。然而,进一步研究显示,该公司的roe与行业平均水平7.5%相似。但反过来,沃特世的五年净利润以2.7%的速度缩水。请记住,该公司的roe略低。因此,利润下降也可能是这个结果。

However, when we compared Hootech's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 9.8% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

然而,当我们将沃特世的增长与行业进行对比时,我们发现,虽然该公司的盈利在缩水,但行业在同一时期实现了9.8%的盈利增长。这是相当令人担忧的。

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SZSE:301026 Past Earnings Growth November 18th 2024
SZSE:301026过去的盈利增长2024年11月18日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Hootech is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

盈利增长是估值股票时要考虑的重要指标。投资者需要判断的下一步是,预期的盈利增长,或者缺乏盈利增长,是否已经蕴含在股价中。通过这样做,他们将了解股票是否正在进入沃特世,或者等待水域泥沼。预期盈利增长的一个良好指标是市盈率,根据其盈利前景确定市场愿意为股票支付的价格。因此,您可能需要查看沃特世是以高市盈率还是低市盈率交易,相对于其行业。

Is Hootech Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Hootech是否有效利用其留存盈利?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 31% (where it is retaining 69% of its profits), Hootech has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

尽管其正常的三年中位数分红比率为31%(保留了其利润的69%),如上所述,Hootech的盈利出现下降。因此,这里可能存在其他因素可能会妨碍增长。例如,该业务面临了一些阻力。

Moreover, Hootech has been paying dividends for three years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer consistent dividends even though earnings have been shrinking.

此外,Hootech已连续三年派息,这是相当长的一段时间,表明管理层必须认为股东更喜欢稳定的分红,即使盈利一直在减少。

Summary

总结

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Hootech can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. You can see the 4 risks we have identified for Hootech by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

总体上,我们认为沃特世的表现可以被多种解读。尽管公司有很高的再投资率,但低ROE意味着所有的再投资并未给投资者带来任何好处,而且对盈利增长产生了负面影响。总而言之,我们会对这家公司谨慎对待,而一种方法是查看该业务的风险概况。您可以免费在我们的平台上访问我们为沃特世确定的4种风险,请点击此处查看我们的风险仪表板。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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