The Five-year Decline in Earnings Might Be Taking Its Toll on Shanghai Highly (Group) (SHSE:600619) Shareholders as Stock Falls 32% Over the Past Week
The Five-year Decline in Earnings Might Be Taking Its Toll on Shanghai Highly (Group) (SHSE:600619) Shareholders as Stock Falls 32% Over the Past Week
Shanghai Highly (Group) Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600619) shareholders might understandably be very concerned that the share price has dropped -32% in the last week. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last five years have been pleasing. After all, the share price is up a market-beating 70% in that time.
上海海立(集团)有限公司(SHSE: 600619)的股东可能会非常担心上周股价下跌了-32%,这是可以理解的。但这并不能改变过去五年的回报令人愉快的事实。毕竟,那段时间股价上涨了70%,超过了市场。
Although Shanghai Highly (Group) has shed CN¥6.8b from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.
尽管上海海立(集团)本周的市值下跌了68元人民币,但让我们来看看其长期基本面趋势,看看它们是否推动了回报。
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
引用巴菲特的话说:“船只将在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society将蓬勃发展。市场上的价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大差异...”评估公司情绪变化的一种有缺陷但合理的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。
During the five years of share price growth, Shanghai Highly (Group) moved from a loss to profitability. That's generally thought to be a genuine positive, so investors may expect to see an increasing share price.
在股价增长的五年中,上海海立(集团)从亏损转为盈利。人们普遍认为这是真正的积极因素,因此投资者可能会看到股价上涨。
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
你可以在下面看到 EPS 是如何随着时间的推移而发生的变化(点击图片发现确切的数值)。
Dive deeper into Shanghai Highly (Group)'s key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Shanghai Highly (Group)'s earnings, revenue and cash flow.
查看这张上海海立(集团)收益、收入和现金流的互动图表,深入了解上海海立(集团)的关键指标。
What About Dividends?
那股息呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Shanghai Highly (Group) the TSR over the last 5 years was 82%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率和股价回报率。股东总回报率是一种回报计算方法,它考虑了现金分红的价值(假设收到的任何股息都经过再投资)以及任何贴现资本筹集和分拆的计算价值。可以公平地说,股东总回报率为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的画面。我们注意到,上海海立(集团)过去5年的股东总回报率为82%,好于上述股价回报率。这在很大程度上是其股息支付的结果!
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
It's good to see that Shanghai Highly (Group) has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 66% in the last twelve months. And that does include the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 13% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - Shanghai Highly (Group) has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are potentially serious) we think you should know about.
很高兴看到上海海立(集团)在过去十二个月中向股东提供了66%的总股东回报率。这确实包括股息。由于一年期股东总回报率好于五年期股东总回报率(后者为每年13%),因此该股的表现似乎在最近有所改善。在最好的情况下,这可能暗示着一些真正的业务势头,这意味着现在可能是深入研究的好时机。尽管市场状况可能对股价产生的不同影响值得考虑,但还有其他因素更为重要。冒险吧,例如——上海海立(集团)有3个警告标志(其中2个可能很严重),我们认为你应该知道。
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).
如果你想和管理层一起购买股票,那么你可能会喜欢这份免费的公司清单。(提示:其中许多未被注意且估值诱人)。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报率。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。