share_log

We Think Kunshan Huguang Auto HarnessLtd (SHSE:605333) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Kunshan Huguang Auto HarnessLtd (SHSE:605333) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我们认为昆山湖广汽车线束股份有限公司(SHSE:605333)可以保持其债务处于控制之下
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/19 08:45

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Kunshan Huguang Auto Harness Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:605333) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

有人认为波动性,而不是债务,是投资者考虑风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾经说过'波动性与风险远非同义词。'因此,聪明的投资者知道,债务(通常涉及破产)是评估公司风险性的一个非常重要因素。值得注意的是,沪光股份股份有限公司 (SHSE:605333) 确实有债务。但股东是否应该担心公司使用债务?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时有危险?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

债务可以帮助企业,直到企业无法偿还债务,无论是通过新资本还是通过自由现金流。 在最坏的情况下,如果一家公司无法偿还债权人,就会破产。 然而,更常见(但仍然痛苦)的情况是,公司必须以低价筹集新的股本,从而永久稀释股东。 当考虑一家公司的债务水平时,第一步是综合考虑其现金和债务。

What Is Kunshan Huguang Auto HarnessLtd's Net Debt?

沪光股份有限公司的净债务是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Kunshan Huguang Auto HarnessLtd had debt of CN¥2.02b, up from CN¥1.83b in one year. However, it also had CN¥599.6m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥1.42b.

下方的图片显示,您可以点击以查看更详细信息,显示2024年9月,沪光股份有限公司的债务为20.2亿人民币,比一年前的18.3亿人民币增加。然而,它也有59960万人民币的现金,因此其净债务为14.2亿人民币。

big
SHSE:605333 Debt to Equity History November 19th 2024
SHSE:605333 债务与股本历史数据 2024年11月19日

How Healthy Is Kunshan Huguang Auto HarnessLtd's Balance Sheet?

沪光股份的资产负债表有多健康?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Kunshan Huguang Auto HarnessLtd had liabilities of CN¥4.12b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥826.6m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥599.6m in cash and CN¥2.97b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥1.38b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

从最近的资产负债表可以看出,沪光股份有410亿人民币的短期到期负债,82660万人民币的长期到期负债。与此相抵,它有59960万人民币的现金和29.7亿人民币的应收账款,这些应收账款在12个月内到期。因此,其负债总额比现金和短期应收账款合计多了13.8亿人民币。

Given Kunshan Huguang Auto HarnessLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥14.5b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

考虑到沪光股份的市值为145亿人民币,很难相信这些负债会构成很大威胁。但有足够的负债,我们肯定建议股东继续密切关注资产负债表的发展。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

我们使用两个主要比率来了解债务相对于收入的水平。首先是净债务除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前利润(EBITDA),而第二个是其税前利润(EBIT)可以覆盖利息支出的倍数(或简称为利息覆盖率)。 这种方法的优势在于我们既考虑了债务的绝对量(净债务与EBITDA)又考虑了与该债务相关的实际利息支出(利息覆盖比)。

We'd say that Kunshan Huguang Auto HarnessLtd's moderate net debt to EBITDA ratio ( being 1.6), indicates prudence when it comes to debt. And its commanding EBIT of 11.2 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. Better yet, Kunshan Huguang Auto HarnessLtd grew its EBIT by 2,059% last year, which is an impressive improvement. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Kunshan Huguang Auto HarnessLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

我们认为,沪光股份的净债务与息税折旧摊销前利润(即EBITDA)比率(为1.6)显示了在债务方面的谨慎。其高达11.2倍的息税前利润(EBIT)相较于利息支出,意味着债务负担轻如孔雀羽毛。更重要的是,沪光股份去年的EBIT增长了2059%,这是一个令人印象深刻的提升。这种增长将使未来偿还债务变得更加容易。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的重点领域。但最终,业务未来的盈利能力将决定沪光股份是否能够随着时间加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份免费报告,展示分析师的盈利预测。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last two years, Kunshan Huguang Auto HarnessLtd burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最终,一家公司只能用冷硬现金偿还债务,而不是会计利润。因此,逻辑的下一步是看看那部分EBIt是否与实际的自由现金流相匹配。在过去两年,沪光股份烧掉了大量现金。虽然投资者毫无疑问地希望这种情况很快会逆转,但这明显意味着其债务使用更加风险。

Our View

我们的观点

Based on what we've seen Kunshan Huguang Auto HarnessLtd is not finding it easy, given its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. In particular, we are dazzled with its EBIT growth rate. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Kunshan Huguang Auto HarnessLtd is managing its debt quite well. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Kunshan Huguang Auto HarnessLtd is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

根据我们看到的情况,沪光股份在将EBIt转化为自由现金流方面并不容易,但我们考虑的其他因素让我们对其抱有乐观态度。特别是,我们对其EBIt增长率感到震撼。当我们考虑到上述所有因素时,我们认为沪光股份在管理债务方面做得相当不错。但需要注意的是:我们认为债务水平足够高,以证明需要持续监控。资产负债表显然是在分析债务时需要关注的重点。但最终,每家公司都可能存在超出资产负债表范围的风险。请注意,沪光股份在我们的投资分析中显示出1个警告信号,您应该了解...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧吗?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章是一般性质的。我们仅基于历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,使用公正的方法,我们的文章并非意在提供财务建议。这并不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,并且不考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您带来基于基础数据驱动的长期聚焦分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St对提及的任何股票都没有持仓。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
    抢沙发