Qingdao Topscomm Communication (SHSE:603421) Sheds CN¥757m, Company Earnings and Investor Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for Past Five Years
Qingdao Topscomm Communication (SHSE:603421) Sheds CN¥757m, Company Earnings and Investor Returns Have Been Trending Downwards for Past Five Years
Qingdao Topscomm Communication INC. (SHSE:603421) shareholders will doubtless be very grateful to see the share price up 51% in the last quarter. But over the last half decade, the stock has not performed well. In fact, the share price is down 44%, which falls well short of the return you could get by buying an index fund.
青岛拓普通讯股份有限公司(上交所代码:603421)的股东无疑会非常感激看到股价在上个季度上涨了51%。然而,在过去的五年里,这只股票的表现并不好。实际上,股价下跌了44%,远低于你通过买入指数基金能够获得的回报。
If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Qingdao Topscomm Communication isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.
如果以过去一周为例,青岛中控通讯的投资者情绪并不是很积极,因此让我们看看基本面和股价之间是否存在不匹配。
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
虽然市场是一个强大的定价机制,但股价反映了投资者情绪,不仅仅是基本业绩。一种有缺陷但合理的评估公司周围情绪如何变化的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股价进行比较。
During the five years over which the share price declined, Qingdao Topscomm Communication's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 21% each year. The share price decline of 11% per year isn't as bad as the EPS decline. So the market may previously have expected a drop, or else it expects the situation will improve. The high P/E ratio of 81.11 suggests that shareholders believe earnings will grow in the years ahead.
在过去五年股价下跌的期间,青岛拓普通讯的每股收益(EPS)每年下降了21%。股价每年下降11%并不算太糟糕,低于每股收益的下降。因此,市场可能之前预期会下跌,或者它期望情况会有所改善。高达81.11的市盈率表明,股东们相信未来几年的收益将会增长。
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
该公司的每股收益(随时间的推移)如下图所示(单击可查看确切数字)。
It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Qingdao Topscomm Communication's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
查看我们关于青岛天迈通信的收益、营业收入和现金流的免费报告可能是非常值得的。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Qingdao Topscomm Communication's TSR for the last 5 years was -41%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
考虑总股东回报以及任何给定股票的股价回报是很重要的。股价回报仅反映股价的变化,而总股东回报包括了分红的价值(假设这些分红被再投资)以及任何折价融资或分拆的益处。因此,对于那些支付慷慨分红的公司来说,总股东回报往往远高于股价回报。 事实上,青岛天迈通信过去5年的总股东回报为-41%,这超过了前面提到的股价回报。公司的分红因此提升了总股东回报。
A Different Perspective
另一种看法
Investors in Qingdao Topscomm Communication had a tough year, with a total loss of 39% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 6.2%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 7% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Qingdao Topscomm Communication better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 5 warning signs with Qingdao Topscomm Communication (at least 1 which shouldn't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
青岛天迈通信的投资者经历了一年艰难的时光,总损失达39%(包括分红),而市场收益约为6.2%。即使好的股票的股价有时也会下跌,但我们希望在过于关注之前,看到企业基本指标的改善。遗憾的是,去年的表现巩固了一段糟糕的走势,股东在五年内面临每年7%的总损失。我们意识到巴伦·罗斯柴尔德曾说投资者应在“街上有血时买入”,但我们提醒投资者首先要确保他们正在购买一家高质量的企业。追踪股价表现的长期情况总是很有趣。但要更好地理解青岛天迈通信,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,投资风险这一随时存在的幽灵。我们已发现青岛天迈通信的5个警告信号(至少有1个不应被忽视),理解这些信号应成为您投资过程的一部分。
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
当然,您可能通过在其他地方寻找会找到一笔极好的投资。因此,请查看我们预计会增长收入的公司免费名单。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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