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Earnings Are Growing at Jason Furniture (Hangzhou)Ltd (SHSE:603816) but Shareholders Still Don't Like Its Prospects

Earnings Are Growing at Jason Furniture (Hangzhou)Ltd (SHSE:603816) but Shareholders Still Don't Like Its Prospects

顾家家居(杭州)有限公司(SHSE:603816)的收益正在增长,但股东们仍然对其前景不抱希望。
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/19 11:11

While it may not be enough for some shareholders, we think it is good to see the Jason Furniture (Hangzhou) Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603816) share price up 15% in a single quarter. But that cannot eclipse the less-than-impressive returns over the last three years. After all, the share price is down 47% in the last three years, significantly under-performing the market.

尽管这对一些股东来说可能还不够,但我们认为在一个季度内看到顾家家居(杭州)股份有限公司(SHSE:603816)股价上涨15%是件好事。 但这并不能掩盖过去三年收益不及预期的事实。毕竟,股价在过去三年下跌了47%,在市场上表现明显不佳。

Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.

考虑到过去一周对股东来说是艰难的,让我们调查一下基本面并看看我们能学到什么。

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

虽然有效市场假说仍然被一些人教授,但被证明市场是过度反应的动态系统,投资者并不总是理性的。检查市场情绪如何随时间变化的一种方法是看一个公司的股价与其每股收益(EPS)之间的交互作用。

Although the share price is down over three years, Jason Furniture (Hangzhou)Ltd actually managed to grow EPS by 21% per year in that time. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Or else the company was over-hyped in the past, and so its growth has disappointed.

尽管股价在过去三年下跌,但顾家家居(杭州)有限公司实际上成功实现了每年21%的EPS增长。鉴于股价的反应,人们可能会怀疑EPS在此期间对业务绩效的指引并不好(可能是由于一次性损失或收益)。或者公司过去被吹捧过度,因此其增长令人失望。

It's worth taking a look at other metrics, because the EPS growth doesn't seem to match with the falling share price.

值得关注其他指标,因为EPS增长似乎与股价下跌不符。

Given the healthiness of the dividend payments, we doubt that they've concerned the market. Revenue has been pretty flat over three years, so that isn't an obvious reason shareholders would sell. A closer look at revenue and profit trends might yield insights.

考虑到分红派息的稳健性,我们怀疑它们是否受到了市场关注。 营业收入在过去三年里基本持平,因此这并非股东会抛售的显而易见的原因。 对营收和利润趋势进行更细致的分析可能会带来一些见解。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下面的图表显示了收益和营收随时间的变化情况(通过单击图像揭示确切的值)。

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SHSE:603816 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 19th 2024
SHSE:603816盈利和营收增长2024年11月19日

Jason Furniture (Hangzhou)Ltd is a well known stock, with plenty of analyst coverage, suggesting some visibility into future growth. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Jason Furniture (Hangzhou)Ltd will earn in the future (free analyst consensus estimates)

顾家家居(杭州)有限公司是一家知名股票,有很多分析师关注,这表明对未来增长有一定的洞察力。因此,查看分析师对顾家家居(杭州)有限公司未来收入的预测是很有意义的(免费分析师一致预测)。

What About Dividends?

关于分红派息的问题

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Jason Furniture (Hangzhou)Ltd's TSR for the last 3 years was -43%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

考虑到任何给定股票的总股东回报以及股价回报是很重要的。TSR包括任何拆股或折价的增资价值,以及根据股息被再投资的假设计算的任何股息价值。可以说,TSR提供了股票所产生回报的更全面图片。事实上,顾家家居(杭州)有限公司过去3年的TSR为-43%,这超过了之前提到的股价回报。这在很大程度上是其分红付款的结果!

A Different Perspective

另一种看法

Investors in Jason Furniture (Hangzhou)Ltd had a tough year, with a total loss of 19% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 6.2%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 1.6% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Jason Furniture (Hangzhou)Ltd better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Jason Furniture (Hangzhou)Ltd , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

杰尚家具(杭州)有限公司的投资者度过了艰难的一年,总损失达到了19%(包括分红),而市场则获得了约6.2%的收益。即使是好股票的股价有时也会下跌,但我们希望在对业务的基本指标看到改善之前,才会产生浓厚兴趣。 值得一提的是,长期股东赚了钱,五年半年化收益率达到了1.6%。 最近的抛售可能是一个机会,因此值得检查基本数据以寻找长期增长趋势的迹象。 跟踪股价表现长期来看总是很有趣。但要更好地了解杰尚家具(杭州)有限公司,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。 例如,考虑投资风险这个永远存在的威胁。我们已经发现了1个关于杰尚家具(杭州)有限公司的警示信号,了解这些信号应该成为您投资过程的一部分。

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).

如果您喜欢与管理层一起购买股票,那么您可能会喜欢这个公司的免费列表。 (提示:其中许多公司不为人注意且具有吸引力的估值。)

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章是一般性质的。我们仅基于历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,使用公正的方法,我们的文章并非意在提供财务建议。这并不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,并且不考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您带来基于基础数据驱动的长期聚焦分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St对提及的任何股票都没有持仓。

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