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Is Shanghai Jiao Yun Group (SHSE:600676) A Risky Investment?

Is Shanghai Jiao Yun Group (SHSE:600676) A Risky Investment?

交运股份(SHSE:600676)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/19 11:33

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Shanghai Jiao Yun Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600676) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

传奇基金经理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾经说过:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”当我们思考一家公司的风险有多大时,我们总是喜欢考虑其债务的用途,因为债务过载可能导致破产。我们可以看到,上海交云集团有限公司(SHSE: 600676)确实在其业务中使用了债务。但是,股东是否应该担心其债务的使用?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

债务何时危险?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但是如果企业无法还清贷款人的债务,那么债务就任其摆布。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。但是,更频繁(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以支撑其资产负债表。但是,通过取代稀释,对于需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业来说,债务可以成为一个非常好的工具。考虑公司的债务水平的第一步是同时考虑其现金和债务。

How Much Debt Does Shanghai Jiao Yun Group Carry?

上海交云集团背负了多少债务?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Shanghai Jiao Yun Group had debt of CN¥109.1m, up from CN¥49.0m in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥2.75b in cash, so it actually has CN¥2.64b net cash.

您可以点击下图查看更多详情,该图片显示,截至2024年9月,上海交云集团的债务为10910万元人民币,高于一年的4900万元人民币。但是,其资产负债表显示它持有27.5元人民币的现金,因此实际上拥有26.4元人民币的净现金。

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SHSE:600676 Debt to Equity History November 19th 2024
SHSE: 600676 2024 年 11 月 19 日债务与股本的比率记录

How Healthy Is Shanghai Jiao Yun Group's Balance Sheet?

上海交云集团的资产负债表有多健康?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Shanghai Jiao Yun Group had liabilities of CN¥1.26b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥640.4m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥2.75b as well as receivables valued at CN¥950.0m due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥1.80b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,上海交云集团的负债为12.6元人民币,此后到期的负债为64040万元人民币。除了这些债务外,它还有27.5元人民币的现金以及价值95000万加元的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它拥有比总负债多出18元人民币的流动资产。

This luscious liquidity implies that Shanghai Jiao Yun Group's balance sheet is sturdy like a giant sequoia tree. With this in mind one could posit that its balance sheet means the company is able to handle some adversity. Succinctly put, Shanghai Jiao Yun Group boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shanghai Jiao Yun Group will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

这种丰厚的流动性意味着上海交云集团的资产负债表像一棵巨型红杉树一样坚固。考虑到这一点,人们可能会认为其资产负债表意味着公司能够应对一些逆境。简而言之,上海交云集团拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说,它没有沉重的债务负担!资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是你不能完全孤立地看待债务;因为上海交云集团需要收益来偿还债务。因此,如果你想进一步了解其收益,可能值得看看这张长期收益趋势图。

In the last year Shanghai Jiao Yun Group had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 22%, to CN¥4.4b. That makes us nervous, to say the least.

去年,上海交云集团在利息和税前出现亏损,实际收入减少了22万%。CN¥44。至少可以说,这让我们感到紧张。

So How Risky Is Shanghai Jiao Yun Group?

那么上海交云集团的风险有多大?

Although Shanghai Jiao Yun Group had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last twelve months, it generated positive free cash flow of CN¥413m. So although it is loss-making, it doesn't seem to have too much near-term balance sheet risk, keeping in mind the net cash. With mediocre revenue growth in the last year, we're don't find the investment opportunity particularly compelling. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Shanghai Jiao Yun Group .

尽管上海交云集团在过去十二个月中出现了息税前收益(EBIT)亏损,但它创造了41300万元人民币的正自由现金流。因此,尽管亏损,但考虑到净现金,它似乎没有太大的短期资产负债表风险。由于去年的收入增长平平,我们认为投资机会并不特别引人注目。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。为此,你应该注意我们在上海交云集团发现的1个警告标志。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

归根结底,通常最好专注于没有净负债的公司。您可以访问我们的此类公司的特别名单(所有公司都有利润增长的记录)。它是免费的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。

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