YUNDA Holding Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002120) Financials Are Too Obscure To Link With Current Share Price Momentum: What's In Store For the Stock?
YUNDA Holding Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002120) Financials Are Too Obscure To Link With Current Share Price Momentum: What's In Store For the Stock?
YUNDA Holding's (SZSE:002120) stock is up by a considerable 28% over the past three months. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Specifically, we decided to study YUNDA Holding's ROE in this article.
运达控股(深圳证券交易所:002120)的股票在过去三个月中上涨了28%。但是该公司的关键财务指标似乎各不相同,这使我们质疑该公司目前的股价势头是否可以维持。具体而言,我们决定在本文中研究运达控股的投资回报率。
Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.
股本回报率或投资回报率是对公司增值和管理投资者资金的有效性的考验。简而言之,它用于评估公司相对于其股权资本的盈利能力。
How To Calculate Return On Equity?
如何计算股本回报率?
The formula for return on equity is:
股本回报率的公式是:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营)÷ 股东权益
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for YUNDA Holding is:
因此,根据上述公式,运达控股的投资回报率为:
9.4% = CN¥1.9b ÷ CN¥20b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
9.4% = 19元人民币 ÷ 200元人民币(基于截至2024年9月的过去十二个月)。
The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.09 in profit.
“回报” 是指公司去年的收益。这意味着,每持有价值1元人民币的股权,公司就会产生0.09元人民币的利润。
Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?
为什么投资回报率对收益增长很重要?
Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.
到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率衡量的是公司创造利润的效率。根据公司选择将多少利润进行再投资或 “保留”,我们便能够评估公司未来创造利润的能力。假设其他条件都一样,与功能不相同的公司相比,具有更高股本回报率和更高利润保留率的公司通常具有更高的增长率。
YUNDA Holding's Earnings Growth And 9.4% ROE
运达控股的收益增长和9.4%的投资回报率
On the face of it, YUNDA Holding's ROE is not much to talk about. However, its ROE is similar to the industry average of 8.3%, so we won't completely dismiss the company. But then again, YUNDA Holding's five year net income shrunk at a rate of 5.7%. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. Therefore, the decline in earnings could also be the result of this.
从表面上看,运达控股的投资回报率没什么好谈的。但是,其投资回报率与行业平均水平的8.3%相似,因此我们不会完全解散该公司。但话又说回来,运达控股的五年净收入以5.7%的速度萎缩。请记住,该公司的投资回报率确实略低。因此,收入的下降也可能是由此造成的。
However, when we compared YUNDA Holding's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 7.8% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.
但是,当我们将运达控股的增长与该行业的增长进行比较时,我们发现,尽管该公司的收益一直在萎缩,但该行业同期的收益增长了7.8%。这非常令人担忧。
Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if YUNDA Holding is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.
收益增长是对股票进行估值时要考虑的重要指标。无论情况如何,投资者都应设法确定预期的收益增长或下降是否已计入其中。这样做将帮助他们确定股票的未来是乐观还是不祥的。衡量预期收益增长的一个很好的指标是市盈率,它根据收益前景决定了市场愿意为股票支付的价格。因此,您可能需要检查一下与其行业相比,云达控股的市盈率是高还是低。
Is YUNDA Holding Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?
运达控股是否有效地将其利润再投资?
YUNDA Holding's low three-year median payout ratio of 10% (or a retention ratio of 90%) over the last three years should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings to fuel its growth but the company's earnings have actually shrunk. The low payout should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings and consequently, should see some growth. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For example, the company's business may be deteriorating.
在过去三年中,运达控股的三年中位数派息率很低,为10%(或90%的留存率),这应该意味着该公司保留了大部分收益来推动增长,但该公司的收益实际上已经萎缩。低支出应意味着该公司保留了大部分收益,因此应该会出现一些增长。因此,在这方面可能还有其他解释。例如,该公司的业务可能正在恶化。
Additionally, YUNDA Holding has paid dividends over a period of eight years, which means that the company's management is rather focused on keeping up its dividend payments, regardless of the shrinking earnings. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to rise to 16% over the next three years. Despite the higher expected payout ratio, the company's ROE is not expected to change by much.
此外,运达控股已在八年内派发了股息,这意味着无论收益如何萎缩,该公司的管理层都相当专注于维持股息支付。我们最新的分析师数据显示,该公司的未来派息率预计将在未来三年内上升至16%。尽管预期派息率更高,但该公司的投资回报率预计不会有太大变化。
Summary
摘要
In total, we're a bit ambivalent about YUNDA Holding's performance. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.
总的来说,我们对运达控股的表现有点矛盾。尽管鉴于投资回报率低,它似乎保留了大部分利润,但投资者毕竟可能无法从所有这些再投资中受益。低收入增长表明我们的理论是正确的。既然如此,最新的行业分析师预测显示,分析师预计公司的收益增长率将得到巨大改善。要了解有关公司未来收益增长预测的更多信息,请查看这份关于分析师预测的免费报告,以了解更多信息。
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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。