Here's Why Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics (SZSE:000561) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden
Here's Why Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics (SZSE:000561) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000561) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
由伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理李露对此毫不掩饰,他说:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。”因此,很明显,当你考虑任何给定股票的风险时,你需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务会使公司陷入困境。我们注意到,陕西丰火电子股份有限公司(SZSE: 000561)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但是这笔债务是股东关心的问题吗?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时危险?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但是如果企业无法偿还贷款,那么债务就任其摆布。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以控制业务。但是,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司为了控制债务,必须以低廉的股价稀释股东。当然,债务可以成为企业的重要工具,尤其是资本密集型企业。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,要做的第一件事是同时考虑其现金和债务。
What Is Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics's Net Debt?
陕西丰火电子的净负债是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics had debt of CN¥697.8m, up from CN¥326.0m in one year. However, it does have CN¥217.6m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥480.2m.
您可以点击下图查看更多详情,该图片显示,截至2024年9月,陕西丰火电子的债务为69780万元人民币,高于一年内的32600万元人民币。但是,它确实有21760万元的现金抵消了这一点,导致净负债约为48020万元人民币。
How Healthy Is Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics' Balance Sheet?
陕西丰火电子的资产负债表有多健康?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics had liabilities of CN¥1.71b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥404.3m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥217.6m and CN¥1.83b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥66.2m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
根据上次报告的资产负债表,陕西丰火电子的负债为17.1元人民币,12个月后到期的负债为40430万元人民币。另一方面,它有一年内到期的现金为21760万元人民币,还有价值18.3元人民币的应收账款。因此,它的负债总额为6620万元人民币,超过了现金和短期应收账款的总和。
This state of affairs indicates that Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics' balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So while it's hard to imagine that the CN¥5.46b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet.
这种状况表明,陕西丰火电子的资产负债表看起来相当稳健,因为其总负债几乎等于其流动资产。因此,尽管很难想象这家54.6元人民币的公司正在为现金而苦苦挣扎,但我们仍然认为值得监控其资产负债表。
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
为了扩大公司相对于收益的负债规模,我们计算其净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前的收益(EBITDA),将其利息和税前收益(EBIT)除以利息支出(利息保障)。这种方法的优势在于,我们既考虑了债务的绝对数量(包括净负债与息税折旧摊销前利润),也考虑了与该债务相关的实际利息支出(及其利息覆盖率)。
As it happens Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics has a fairly concerning net debt to EBITDA ratio of 13.0 but very strong interest coverage of 1k. This means that unless the company has access to very cheap debt, that interest expense will likely grow in the future. Importantly, Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 90% in the last twelve months. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
碰巧的是,陕西丰火电子的净负债与息税折旧摊销前利润的比率相当令人担忧,为13.0,但利息覆盖率非常高,为0.1万。这意味着,除非公司能够获得非常便宜的债务,否则利息支出将来可能会增加。重要的是,陕西丰火电子的息税前利润在过去十二个月中下降了惊人的90%。如果这种下降持续下去,那么偿还债务将比在素食大会上出售鹅肝更难。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但是,未来的收益将决定陕西丰火电子未来保持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
最后,公司只能用冷硬现金偿还债务,不能用会计利润偿还债务。因此,合乎逻辑的步骤是研究该息税前利润与实际自由现金流相匹配的比例。在过去的三年中,陕西丰火电子的自由现金流总额为负数。尽管这可能是增长支出的结果,但它确实使债务风险大大增加。
Our View
我们的观点
On the face of it, Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its interest cover is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Looking at the balance sheet and taking into account all these factors, we do believe that debt is making Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics stock a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Shaanxi Fenghuo Electronics .
从表面上看,陕西丰火电子将息税前利润转换为自由现金流使我们对该股持初步看法,其息税前利润增长率并不比一年中最繁忙的夜晚那家空荡荡的餐厅更具吸引力。但好的一面是,它的利息保障是一个好兆头,也使我们更加乐观。从资产负债表来看,考虑到所有这些因素,我们确实认为债务使陕西丰火电子的股票有点风险。有些人喜欢这种风险,但我们注意到了潜在的陷阱,因此我们可能更希望它承担较少的债务。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。为此,你应该注意我们在陕西丰火电子身上发现的两个警告标志。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
归根结底,通常最好专注于没有净负债的公司。您可以访问我们的此类公司的特别名单(所有公司都有利润增长的记录)。它是免费的。
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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。