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Is There Now An Opportunity In Shede Spirits Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600702)?

Is There Now An Opportunity In Shede Spirits Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600702)?

舍得酒业有限公司(SHSE:600702)现在有机会吗?
Simply Wall St ·  11/19 12:41

Shede Spirits Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600702), might not be a large cap stock, but it led the SHSE gainers with a relatively large price hike in the past couple of weeks. The recent rally in share prices has nudged the company in the right direction, though it still falls short of its yearly peak. With many analysts covering the mid-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock's share price. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Today we will analyse the most recent data on Shede Spirits's outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

舍得酒业股份有限公司(SHSE:600702)可能不是一家大盘股,但在过去几周里它引领了上证深市交易赢家,股价相对大涨。最近股价上涨推动该公司朝着正确的方向发展,尽管仍未达到全年高点。由于有许多分析师关注这支中盘股,我们可以预期任何与股价相关的公告已经被充分计入股价之中。然而,如果这支股票仍然是个便宜货怎么办呢?今天我们将分析舍得酒业最新前景和估值数据,看看是否仍存在机会。

What's The Opportunity In Shede Spirits?

舍得酒业有什么机会?

The share price seems sensible at the moment according to our price multiple model, where we compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. In this instance, we've used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock's cash flows. We find that Shede Spirits's ratio of 21.06x is trading slightly below its industry peers' ratio of 23.86x, which means if you buy Shede Spirits today, you'd be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe that Shede Spirits should be trading at this level in the long run, then there's not much of an upside to gain over and above other industry peers. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Shede Spirits's beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company's shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

根据我们的价格倍数模型,目前舍得酒业的股价看起来合理,我们比较了公司的市盈率与同行业平均水平。在这种情况下,我们使用市盈率(PE)比对,因为没有足够的信息可靠地预测股票的现金流。我们发现舍得酒业的市盈率为21.06倍,略低于同行业平均值23.86倍,这意味着如果今天买入舍得酒业,您将以合理的价格购买。如果您相信舍得酒业应该长期以来处于这个水平,那么它与其他行业同行相比并没有太多上涨空间。尽管如此,未来可能有购买的机会。这是因为舍得酒业的贝塔系数(股价波动性指标)高,这意味着其股价波动将相对于市场其他部分被夸大。如果市场看淡,公司的股价可能会比市场其他部分下跌更多,提供了一个主要的买入机会。

Can we expect growth from Shede Spirits?

我们能否期待舍得酒业的增长?

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SHSE:600702 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 19th 2024
SHSE:600702 2024年11月19日的收入和营业收入增长

Future outlook is an important aspect when you're looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let's also take a look at the company's future expectations. Shede Spirits' earnings growth are expected to be in the teens in the upcoming years, indicating a solid future ahead. This should lead to robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

未来展望是购买股票时需要考虑的重要因素,尤其是如果您是希望在投资组合中寻找增长的投资者。购买一家前景看好的优质公司以优惠价格总是一个不错的投资,因此让我们也来看看公司的未来预期。舍得酒业的盈利预期将在未来几年保持两位数增长,预示着一个稳固的未来。这应该导致强劲的现金流,进而提高股价。

What This Means For You

这对你意味着什么

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in 600702's positive outlook, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven't considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at 600702? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below the industry PE ratio?

您是股东吗?市场似乎已经反映了600702的积极前景,股价围绕行业价格倍数交易。然而,还有其他重要因素今天我们没有考虑到,比如公司的财务实力。这些因素自上次您查看600702以来有变化吗?如果股价跌破行业市盈率,您是否有足够的信心投资该公司?

Are you a potential investor? If you've been keeping tabs on 600702, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for 600702, which means it's worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

您是潜在投资者吗?如果您一直关注600702,现在可能不是最有利的买入时机,因为它的股价围绕行业价格倍数交易。但是,600702的积极前景令人鼓舞,这意味着值得更深入地挖掘其他因素,比如其资产负债表的实力,以便利用下一次股价下跌。

So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Shede Spirits at this point in time. Be aware that Shede Spirits is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis and 1 of those is a bit concerning...

因此,尽管盈利质量很重要,但在考虑舍得酒业当前风险时同样重要。请注意,舍得酒业在我们的投资分析中显示了3个预警信号,其中之一有点令人担忧...

If you are no longer interested in Shede Spirits, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

如果您对舍得酒业不再感兴趣,您可以使用我们的免费平台查看我们超过50只其他潜力股票的名单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章是一般性质的。我们仅基于历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,使用公正的方法,我们的文章并非意在提供财务建议。这并不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,并且不考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您带来基于基础数据驱动的长期聚焦分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St对提及的任何股票都没有持仓。

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