The Past Three-year Earnings Decline for Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy (SHSE:688196) Likely Explains Shareholders Long-term Losses
The Past Three-year Earnings Decline for Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy (SHSE:688196) Likely Explains Shareholders Long-term Losses
It is doubtless a positive to see that the Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688196) share price has gained some 63% in the last three months. But that cannot eclipse the less-than-impressive returns over the last three years. In fact, the share price is down 47% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return.
毫无疑问,看到卓越新能(SHSE:688196)的股价在过去三个月上涨了约63%是个积极的信号。但是,这无法掩盖过去三年回报的平淡。实际上,该股价在过去三年下跌了47%,远低于市场回报。
The recent uptick of 15% could be a positive sign of things to come, so let's take a look at historical fundamentals.
最近15%的涨幅可能是未来积极迹象,因此我们来看看历史数据。
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
虽然市场是一个强大的定价机制,但股价反映的却是投资者情绪,而不仅仅是基础业务表现。一种不完美但简单的考虑收入每股收益(EPS)变化与股价变动的市场认知变化的方法是比较它们之间的差异。
Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 58% per year, over the last three years. This fall in the EPS is worse than the 19% compound annual share price fall. This suggests that the market retains some optimism around long term earnings stability, despite past EPS declines. With a P/E ratio of 210.13, it's fair to say the market sees a brighter future for the business.
卓越新能在过去三年中,每股收益以58%的复合年增长率下降。这一每股收益的下降比19%的复合年股价下降更为严重。这表明尽管过去每股收益下滑,市场对长期盈利稳定仍保持一定的乐观。以210.13的市盈率来看,市场对该业务未来的前景持更为乐观的态度。
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
您可以在下面的图像中查看每股收益随时间的变化(单击图表查看确切值)。

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.
在买入或卖出股票之前,我们总是建议仔细审查历史增长趋势,详情请见这里。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy the TSR over the last 3 years was -43%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
考虑总股东回报以及任何给定股票的股价回报是很重要的。股价回报仅反映股价的变化,而总股东回报(TSR)包括了分红的价值(假设这些分红被再投资)以及任何折扣融资或分拆的收益。可以公平地说,总股东回报为支付分红的股票提供了更全面的视图。我们注意到,对于卓越新能来说,过去三年的总股东回报为-43%,这比上述提到的股价回报要好。这在很大程度上是由于其分红支付!
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
While the broader market gained around 4.1% in the last year, Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy shareholders lost 23% (even including dividends). However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 3% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Longyan Zhuoyue New Energy you should be aware of, and 2 of them are concerning.
在过去的一年里,整体市场上涨了大约4.1%,而卓越新能的股东则损失了23%(即便包括分红)。然而,请记住,即使是最好的股票有时在一年内也会跑输市场。遗憾的是,去年的表现为糟糕的表现画上了句号,股东在五年内面临每年3%的总损失。一般来说,长期的股价疲软可能是个坏兆头,尽管逆向投资者可能想研究该股票,以期实现反转。我发现,长期观察股价作为业务表现的代理变量是非常有趣的。但为了真正获得洞察,我们还需要考虑其他信息。举个例子:我们注意到卓越新能有3个警告信号,你应该留意其中2个是令人担忧的。
If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.
如果你像我一样,那么你一定不想错过这份内部人士正在购买的被低估的小型股免费名单。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。