Investing in Atmos Energy (NYSE:ATO) Three Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 66% Gain
Investing in Atmos Energy (NYSE:ATO) Three Years Ago Would Have Delivered You a 66% Gain
By buying an index fund, you can roughly match the market return with ease. But many of us dare to dream of bigger returns, and build a portfolio ourselves. For example, Atmos Energy Corporation (NYSE:ATO) shareholders have seen the share price rise 54% over three years, well in excess of the market return (16%, not including dividends). On the other hand, the returns haven't been quite so good recently, with shareholders up just 34%, including dividends.
通过购买指数基金,您可以轻松地大致匹配市场回报。但我们中的许多人敢于梦想更大的回报,并自己构建投资组合。例如,Atmos Energy Corporation(纽约交所:ATO)的股东在过去三年中看到股价上涨54%,远远超过市场回报(16%,不包括分红)。另一方面,最近的回报并不那么理想,股东们的收益仅为34%,包括分红在内。
Now it's worth having a look at the company's fundamentals too, because that will help us determine if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.
现在值得更详细地了解该公司的基本面,因为这将帮助我们判断长期股东回报是否与基础业务的表现相匹配。
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
为了概述本杰明·格雷厄姆(Benjamin Graham)的话:短期内,市场是一台投票机,但长期来看,它是一台衡重机。思考一家公司的市场感知如何转变的一种不完美但简单的方法是将每股收益(EPS)变化与股价变动进行比较。
Atmos Energy was able to grow its EPS at 7.5% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. This EPS growth is lower than the 15% average annual increase in the share price. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did three years ago. It is quite common to see investors become enamoured with a business, after a few years of solid progress.
Atmos Energy在过去三年内每年将EPS增长率提高了7.5%,从而推高了股价。这种EPS增长低于股价平均每年增长15%。因此,可以合理地认为市场对该业务的看法高于三年前。投资者在几年稳步进展后经常会对一家企业产生迷恋,这是很常见的。
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
您可以看到EPS随时间的变化如下(通过单击图像了解确切数值)。
It's good to see that there was some significant insider buying in the last three months. That's a positive. On the other hand, we think the revenue and earnings trends are much more meaningful measures of the business. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Atmos Energy's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
看到过去三个月内有一些重要的内部人员买入股票是好事。这是一个积极的信号。另一方面,我们认为营收和盈利趋势更能反映业务的实际情况。通过查看Atmos Energy盈利、营收和现金流的互动图表,深入了解盈利情况。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Atmos Energy the TSR over the last 3 years was 66%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要区分总股东回报(TSR)和股价回报之间的差异。TSR将考虑到任何拆分、打折融资或分红等价值,基于分红再投资的假设。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司,TSR往往比股价回报高得多。我们注意到,在过去的3年里,Atmos Energy的TSR为66%,比上述股价回报要好。公司支付的股息因此提高了总股东回报。
A Different Perspective
另一种看法
Atmos Energy's TSR for the year was broadly in line with the market average, at 34%. Most would be happy with a gain, and it helps that the year's return is actually better than the average return over five years, which was 9%. It is possible that management foresight will bring growth well into the future, even if the share price slows down. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should be aware of the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Atmos Energy .
Atmos Energy今年的TSR基本上与市场平均水平持平,为34%。大多数人会对获利感到满意,而今年的回报实际上比过去五年的平均回报(9%)更好。管理层的远见可能会为未来带来增长,即使股价放缓。虽然考虑市场条件对股价的不同影响是非常重要的,但还有其他更重要的因素。因此,您应该注意我们在Atmos Energy发现的3个警示信号。
Atmos Energy is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of small cap companies at attractive valuations which insiders have been buying.
atmos energy不是唯一一只内部人士正在买入的股票。因此,请查看这个免费的小盘公司名单,这些公司具有有吸引力的估值,内部人士一直在买入。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
请注意,本文所引述的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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