Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery (SHSE:605286) Could Easily Take On More Debt
Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery (SHSE:605286) Could Easily Take On More Debt
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery Co., Ltd. (SHSE:605286) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
大卫·伊本说得很好,他说:'波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久损失。' 当我们考虑一家公司有多危险时,我们总是喜欢查看其债务使用情况,因为债务过重可能导致破产。我们注意到江苏通利日升机械有限公司(SHSE:605286)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否使公司变得危险。
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
为什么债务会带来风险?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
一般而言,当一家公司无法轻易偿还欠款时,无论是通过筹集资本还是通过自有现金流,债务才会成为真正的问题。在最坏的情况下,如果一家公司无法偿还其债权人,它可能会破产。然而,更频繁(但仍然代价高昂)发生的情况是,一家公司必须以极低的价格发行股份,永久性地稀释股东的权益,以巩固其资产负债表。当然,债务的好处在于它往往代表了廉价资本,尤其是在代替稀释投资能力高的公司时。当我们检查负债水平时,我们首先考虑现金和债务水平,两者垫底在一起。
What Is Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery's Debt?
江苏通利日升机械的债务是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery had CN¥137.5m of debt in September 2024, down from CN¥462.5m, one year before. But on the other hand it also has CN¥564.0m in cash, leading to a CN¥426.5m net cash position.
您可以点击下面的图形查看历史数据,但它显示江苏通利日升机械在2024年9月的债务为13750万人民币,较一年前的46250万人民币下降。但另一方面,它也有56400万人民币的现金,导致42650万人民币的净现金头寸。
A Look At Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery's Liabilities
江苏通力日升机械的负债情况
According to the last reported balance sheet, Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery had liabilities of CN¥1.54b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥127.4m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥564.0m as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.25b due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥149.5m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
根据最后报告的资产负债表,江苏通力日升机械在12个月内的负债为15.4亿人民币,超过12个月的负债为12740万人民币。抵消这些义务,它拥有56400万人民币的现金,以及在12个月内到期的应收款项价值为12.5亿人民币。所以它实际上拥有比总负债多出14950万人民币的流动资产。
This short term liquidity is a sign that Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
这种短期流动性表明,江苏通力日升机械可能能够轻松偿还其债务,因为它的资产负债表远未紧张。简而言之,江苏通力日升机械拥有净现金,因此可以说它的债务负担并不沉重!
Even more impressive was the fact that Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery grew its EBIT by 122% over twelve months. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
更令人印象深刻的是,江苏通力日升机械的EBIT在十二个月内增长了122%。如果这种增长得以维持,未来几年债务将变得更加可控。分析债务时明确关注资产负债表是关键。但是影响江苏通力日升机械资产负债表在未来状况的将是其收益。因此,如果你希望了解更多关于其收益的信息,查看其长期收益趋势图可能值得一看。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Looking at the most recent three years, Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery recorded free cash flow of 44% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
但我们最终的考虑也很重要,因为一家公司不能用纸上利润偿还债务;它需要冷硬现金。江苏通力日升机械在资产负债表上可能有净现金,但看看该业务是如何将息税前利润(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的,也很有趣,因为这将影响其债务的需求和管理能力。查看最近三年,江苏通力日升机械的自由现金流占EBIT的44%,这比我们预期的要弱。这种现金转换的弱势使得处理债务更加困难。
Summing Up
总之
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery has CN¥426.5m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And we liked the look of last year's 122% year-on-year EBIT growth. So is Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Jiangsu Tongli Risheng Machinery you should be aware of.
虽然调查公司的债务总是明智的,但在这种情况下,江苏通力日升机械拥有42650万人民币的净现金和一个看起来不错的资产负债表。 而且我们喜欢去年的122%同比EBIT增长表现。 那么,江苏通力日升机械的债务是否构成风险?在我们看来似乎并非如此。 毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的大部分关于债务的知识。然而,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。 例如:我们发现了江苏通力日升机械一个警告信号,你应该关注。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
每天结束时,通常更好地关注那些没有净债务的公司。您可以查看我们特别名单上的这些公司(所有这些公司都有盈利增长记录)。这是免费的。
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