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We Think Inner Mongolia Yitai CoalLtd (SHSE:900948) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Inner Mongolia Yitai CoalLtd (SHSE:900948) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我们认为内蒙古伊泰煤炭股份有限公司(SHSE:900948)可以继续控制其债务
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/20 08:05

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Inner Mongolia Yitai Coal Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:900948) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

霍华德·马克斯很恰当地说,'我担心的风险是永久性损失的可能性……而我认识的每个实际投资者也都在担心这个。' 当我们考虑一家公司有多危险时,我们总是喜欢查看其债务的使用,因为债务过重可能导致毁灭。 我们注意到,内蒙古伊泰煤业有限公司(SHSE:900948)确实在其资产负债表上有债务。 但真正的问题是,这些债务是否使公司变得风险很大。

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务带来了什么风险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

一般来说,债务只有在公司无法轻松还清时,才会成为真正的问题,要么通过筹集资金,要么通过自己的现金流。 如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款方可能会控制企业。 然而,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,企业必须以便宜的股价稀释股东,仅仅是为了控制债务。 当然,债务可以是企业中的一个重要工具,尤其是在资本密集型的企业中。 在考虑公司债务水平时,第一步是将其现金和债务一起考虑。

What Is Inner Mongolia Yitai CoalLtd's Net Debt?

内蒙古伊泰煤业有限公司的净债务是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Inner Mongolia Yitai CoalLtd had debt of CN¥14.5b at the end of September 2024, a reduction from CN¥16.4b over a year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥15.0b in cash, so it actually has CN¥444.0m net cash.

下面的图片可以点击查看更详细的信息,显示内蒙古伊泰煤业有限公司截至2024年9月底的债务为145亿人民币,较去年减少了164亿人民币。 然而,其资产负债表显示其持有150亿人民币现金,因此它实际上拥有44400万人民币的净现金。

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SHSE:900948 Debt to Equity History November 20th 2024
SHSE:900948 债务与股本历史 2024年11月20日

A Look At Inner Mongolia Yitai CoalLtd's Liabilities

内蒙古伊泰煤业有限公司的负债情况

According to the last reported balance sheet, Inner Mongolia Yitai CoalLtd had liabilities of CN¥14.6b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥13.6b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥15.0b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.49b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥11.7b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

根据最新的资产负债表,内蒙古伊泰煤业有限公司在12个月内的负债为146亿人民币,超过12个月的负债为136亿人民币。为了抵消这些债务,公司拥有150亿人民币的现金和12个月内到期的应收账款14.9亿人民币。因此,它的负债总额比现金和短期应收账款的总和高出117亿人民币。

This deficit isn't so bad because Inner Mongolia Yitai CoalLtd is worth CN¥46.7b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Inner Mongolia Yitai CoalLtd boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

这一赤字并不算太糟,因为内蒙古伊泰煤业有限公司的市值为467亿人民币,因此如果需要的话,它可能能筹集足够的资金来巩固其资产负债表。但显然,我们应该密切关注它是否能在不稀释股权的情况下管理其债务。尽管负债显著,内蒙古伊泰煤业有限公司仍然拥有净现金,因此可以公平地说,它并没有太重的债务负担!

The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Inner Mongolia Yitai CoalLtd if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 30% cut to EBIT over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Inner Mongolia Yitai CoalLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

如果管理层无法防止去年30%的EBIT减少,适度的债务负担对内蒙古伊泰煤业有限公司来说可能会变得至关重要。收益下滑(如果趋势持续)可能最终会使适度的债务变得相当风险。当分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个起点。但您不能孤立地看待债务;因为内蒙古伊泰煤业有限公司将需要收益来偿还这些债务。所以如果你想了解更多关于它的收益情况,查看其长期收益趋势的图表可能会很有价值。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Inner Mongolia Yitai CoalLtd may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Inner Mongolia Yitai CoalLtd generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 98% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

最后,尽管税务局可能喜欢会计利润,但贷款方只接受冷硬的现金。内蒙古伊泰煤业有限公司在资产负债表上可能有净现金,但仍然值得关注它如何将息税前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流,因为这将影响它的债务需求和管理能力。在过去三年中,内蒙古伊泰煤业有限公司产生的自由现金流总额相当强劲,达到了其EBIT的98%,这超过了我们的预期。这使其在偿还债务方面处于非常强的地位。

Summing Up

总结

While Inner Mongolia Yitai CoalLtd does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥444.0m. The cherry on top was that in converted 98% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥10.0b. So we are not troubled with Inner Mongolia Yitai CoalLtd's debt use. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Inner Mongolia Yitai CoalLtd that you should be aware of before investing here.

虽然内蒙古伊泰B股的负债超过流动资产,但它的净现金仍有44400万人民币。最令人满意的是,它将98%的EBIT转化为自由现金流,带来了100亿人民币的收入。因此,我们对内蒙古伊泰B股的债务使用并不感到困扰。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。然而,并非所有投资风险都在资产负债表上 - 远非如此。例如,我们发现内蒙古伊泰B股有1个警告信号,在这里投资前你应该了解。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

无论最终结果如何,有时候更容易关注那些根本不需要债务的公司。读者可以立即免费获取一份净债务为零的成长股列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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