Is Shaanxi Huaqin Technology IndustryLtd (SHSE:688281) A Risky Investment?
Is Shaanxi Huaqin Technology IndustryLtd (SHSE:688281) A Risky Investment?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Shaanxi Huaqin Technology Industry Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688281) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
有人说,波动性,而不是债务,是投资者思考风险的最佳方式,但沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”当你检查公司的资产负债表的风险时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为企业倒闭时通常会涉及债务。我们可以看到,陕西华勤科技实业有限公司, Ltd.(上海证券交易所代码:688281)确实在其业务中使用债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务会带来多大的风险?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时危险?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
当企业无法通过自由现金流或以诱人的价格筹集资金来轻松履行这些义务时,债务和其他负债就会成为风险。资本主义的组成部分是 “创造性破坏” 过程,在这种过程中,倒闭的企业被银行家无情地清算。但是,更频繁(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以低廉的价格发行股票,永久稀释股东,以支撑其资产负债表。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理债务,而且对自己有利。当我们考虑公司使用债务时,我们首先将现金和债务放在一起考虑。
What Is Shaanxi Huaqin Technology IndustryLtd's Debt?
陕西华勤科技实业有限公司的债务是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Shaanxi Huaqin Technology IndustryLtd had debt of CN¥555.0m, up from CN¥107.7m in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥2.93b in cash, so it actually has CN¥2.37b net cash.
您可以点击下图查看更多详情,该图片显示,截至2024年9月,陕西华勤科技工业有限公司的债务为55500万元人民币,高于一年内的10770万元人民币。但是,其资产负债表显示它持有29.3元人民币的现金,因此实际净现金为23.7元人民币。
A Look At Shaanxi Huaqin Technology IndustryLtd's Liabilities
看看陕西华勤科技实业有限公司的负债
The latest balance sheet data shows that Shaanxi Huaqin Technology IndustryLtd had liabilities of CN¥416.4m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥693.5m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥2.93b in cash and CN¥723.4m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥2.54b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
最新的资产负债表数据显示,陕西华勤科技工业有限公司的负债为41640万元人民币,此后到期的负债为69350万元人民币。与此相抵消的是,它有29.3元人民币的现金和72340万元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它的流动资产实际上比总负债多出25.4元人民币。
This short term liquidity is a sign that Shaanxi Huaqin Technology IndustryLtd could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that Shaanxi Huaqin Technology IndustryLtd has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
这种短期流动性表明,陕西华勤科技工业有限公司可能会轻松偿还债务,因为其资产负债表远未捉襟见肘。简而言之,陕西华勤科技工业有限公司的现金多于债务,这一事实可以说是一个很好的迹象,表明它可以安全地管理债务。
It is just as well that Shaanxi Huaqin Technology IndustryLtd's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 34% over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Shaanxi Huaqin Technology IndustryLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
陕西华勤科技实业有限公司的负担也不是太重,因为其息税前利润比去年下降了34%。在还清债务方面,收入下降对健康的作用并不比含糖的苏打水更有用。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中学到的关于债务的知识最多。但最终,该业务未来的盈利能力将决定陕西华勤科技工业有限公司能否随着时间的推移加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你想看看专业人士的想法,你可能会发现这份关于分析师利润预测的免费报告很有趣。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Shaanxi Huaqin Technology IndustryLtd has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Shaanxi Huaqin Technology IndustryLtd saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
但是我们最终的考虑因素也很重要,因为公司无法用纸面利润来偿还债务;它需要冷硬现金。尽管陕西华勤科技工业有限公司的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍值得一看其将息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解其建立(或侵蚀)现金余额的速度有多快。在过去的三年中,陕西华勤科技工业有限公司的自由现金流总额为负数。尽管这可能是增长支出的结果,但它确实使债务风险大大增加。
Summing Up
总结一下
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Shaanxi Huaqin Technology IndustryLtd has CN¥2.37b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So while Shaanxi Huaqin Technology IndustryLtd does not have a great balance sheet, it's certainly not too bad. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Shaanxi Huaqin Technology IndustryLtd (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.
尽管调查公司的债务始终是明智之举,但在本案中,陕西华勤科技工业有限公司的净现金为23.7元人民币,资产负债表看起来不错。因此,尽管陕西华勤科技工业有限公司的资产负债表不佳,但肯定还不错。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但是,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。这些风险可能很难发现。每家公司都有它们,我们已经发现了陕西华勤科技工业有限公司的两个警告标志(其中 1 个有点令人担忧!)你应该知道。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
毕竟,如果你对一家资产负债表坚如磐石的快速成长型公司更感兴趣,那么请立即查看我们的净现金增长股票清单。
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