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Investing in Bristol-Myers Squibb (NYSE:BMY) a Year Ago Would Have Delivered You a 24% Gain

Investing in Bristol-Myers Squibb (NYSE:BMY) a Year Ago Would Have Delivered You a 24% Gain

一年前投资施贵宝(纽交所:BMY)将让你获得24%的收益
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/20 19:02

There's no doubt that investing in the stock market is a truly brilliant way to build wealth. But if when you choose to buy stocks, some of them will be below average performers. For example, the Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (NYSE:BMY), share price is up over the last year, but its gain of 18% trails the market return. However, the longer term returns haven't been so impressive, with the stock up just 2.5% in the last three years.

毫无疑问,在股市投资是积累财富的一种绝佳方式。但是当您选择购买股票时,有些股票的表现会低于平均水平。例如,纽约证券交易所(NYSE)上市的施贵宝(Bristol-Myers Squibb)公司股价在过去一年中有所上涨,但涨幅18%略低于市场回报。然而,长期回报并不那么令人印象深刻,股价在过去三年中仅上涨了2.5%。

Let's take a look at the underlying fundamentals over the longer term, and see if they've been consistent with shareholders returns.

让我们长期看一下潜在的基本面,看看它们是否与股东回报一致。

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

尽管市场是一个强大的定价机制,股价不仅反映了基本业务表现,还反映了投资者的情绪。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和股价变化,并随时间推移这样做,我们可以了解股东对公司的态度如何随时间变化。

Over the last twelve months Bristol-Myers Squibb went from profitable to unprofitable. While some may see this as temporary, we're a skeptical bunch, and so we're a little surprised to see the share price go up. We might get a clue to explain the share price move by looking to other metrics.

在过去的十二个月中,施贵宝公司由盈利转为亏损。虽然一些人可能认为这只是暂时的,但我们是一个怀疑的群体,所以看到股价上涨有些惊讶。通过观察其他指标,我们可能会找到解释股价变动的线索。

We note that the most recent dividend payment is higher than the payment a year ago, so that may have assisted the share price. Income-seeking investors probably helped bid up the stock price. Though we must add that the revenue growth of 5.6% year on year would have helped paint a pretty picture.

我们注意到最近的分红派息高于一年前的金额,因此这可能推动了股价上涨。寻求收入的投资者可能有助于推高股价。尽管我们必须补充一点,即年增长5.6%的营业收入可能有助于呈现一个不错的画面。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

以下图像显示了公司的营业收入和盈利(随时间变化)(单击以查看准确的数字)。

big
NYSE:BMY Earnings and Revenue Growth November 20th 2024
纽交所:BMY 2024年11月20日盈利和营业收入增长

It's good to see that there was some significant insider buying in the last three months. That's a positive. On the other hand, we think the revenue and earnings trends are much more meaningful measures of the business. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Bristol-Myers Squibb will earn in the future (free profit forecasts).

在过去三个月中看到一些重要的内部人员买入是好事。这是一个积极的信号。另一方面,我们认为营业收入和盈利趋势是更有意义的业务衡量标准。因此,查看分析师认为施贵宝未来将赚取多少是非常有意义的(免费盈利预测)。

What About Dividends?

关于分红派息的问题

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Bristol-Myers Squibb, it has a TSR of 24% for the last 1 year. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

考虑任何特定股票的总股东回报以及股价回报是很重要的。TSR包括任何剥离或折价的资本筹资价值,以及根据假设分红被再投资的任何分红。因此,对于支付丰厚分红的公司,TSR往往比股价回报高得多。就施贵宝而言,过去1年其TSR为24%。这超过了先前提到的股价回报。公司支付的分红因此提升了总股东回报。

A Different Perspective

另一种看法

Bristol-Myers Squibb shareholders are up 24% for the year (even including dividends). But that return falls short of the market. On the bright side, that's still a gain, and it's actually better than the average return of 4% over half a decade It is possible that returns will improve along with the business fundamentals. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Bristol-Myers Squibb .

施贵宝的股东今年赚了24%(即使包括分红派息在内)。 但这个收益还是低于市场水平。 在好的一面,这依然是一种收益,实际上比过去半个世纪的平均收益率4%要好。 随着业务基本面的改善,收益有可能会提高。 我发现长期以来观察股价作为业务表现的替代指标非常有趣。 但要真正获得洞察,我们需要考虑其他信息。 为此,您需要注意我们发现的施贵宝存在的2个警示信号。

There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. You probably do not want to miss this free list of undervalued small cap companies that insiders are buying.

还有很多其他的公司,公司的内部人士正在购买股票。你可能不想错过这个免费的小市值公司的低估列表。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

请注意,本文所引述的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章是一般性质的。我们仅基于历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,使用公正的方法,我们的文章并非意在提供财务建议。这并不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,并且不考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您带来基于基础数据驱动的长期聚焦分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St对提及的任何股票都没有持仓。

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