With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 26.9x FirstEnergy Corp. (NYSE:FE) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios under 18x and even P/E's lower than 11x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
FirstEnergy certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on FirstEnergy will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, FirstEnergy would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 63% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 18% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 28% per annum as estimated by the eleven analysts watching the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 11% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that FirstEnergy's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
What We Can Learn From FirstEnergy's P/E?
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of FirstEnergy's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - FirstEnergy has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than FirstEnergy. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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