Does Vipshop Holdings (NYSE:VIPS) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Does Vipshop Holdings (NYSE:VIPS) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Vipshop Holdings Limited (NYSE:VIPS) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
传奇基金经理李录(得到查理·芒格支持)曾经说过,“最大的投资风险不是价格波动,而是你是否会遭受资本永久性损失。”当我们考虑一家公司有多大风险时,我们总是喜欢看看它的债务使用情况,因为债务过载可能导致灭亡。我们可以看到,唯品会控股有限公司(纽交所:VIPS)的业务确实使用债务。但这些债务会不会让股东担忧呢?
When Is Debt A Problem?
什么时候负债才是一个问题?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
债务可以帮助企业,直到企业难以用新的资本或自由现金流偿还债务。如果企业无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能拿不到任何东西。然而,更频繁(但仍然代价高昂)的情况是,公司不得不以极低的价格发行股票,永久地稀释股东,仅仅为了支撑其资产负债表。当然,债务的好处在于,它往往代表着便宜的资本,特别是当债务取代具有高回报能力的公司股票时。当我们考虑一家公司的债务使用情况时,我们首先要看现金和债务。
What Is Vipshop Holdings's Debt?
唯品会控股的债务是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Vipshop Holdings had CN¥5.40b of debt, an increase on CN¥791.2m, over one year. But it also has CN¥23.4b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥18.0b net cash.
您可以点击下方的图表查看历史数据,但截至2024年9月,唯品会控股的债务为54亿人民币,较一年前增加了79120万人民币。但它也持有234亿人民币的现金来抵消,这意味着净现金为180亿人民币。
How Healthy Is Vipshop Holdings' Balance Sheet?
唯品会控制表现如何?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Vipshop Holdings had liabilities of CN¥27.2b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥3.20b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥23.4b as well as receivables valued at CN¥4.09b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥2.84b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
深入了解最新资产负债表数据,我们可以看到唯品会在12个月内到期的负债为272亿人民币,到期超过12个月的负债为32亿人民币。 抵消这些义务,它拥有234亿人民币的现金以及价值40.9亿人民币的应收款项,其中12个月内到期。 因此,它的负债总计比其现金和近期应收款项大28.4亿人民币。
Of course, Vipshop Holdings has a market capitalization of CN¥49.3b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Vipshop Holdings boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
当然,唯品会的市值为493亿人民币,所以这些负债可能是可管理的。 但有足够的负债,我们肯定会建议股东继续监视资产负债表的发展。 尽管负债值得注意,但唯品会拥有净现金,所以可以说它并没有沉重的债务负担!
Also positive, Vipshop Holdings grew its EBIT by 21% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Vipshop Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
此外,唯品会去年的EBIt增长了21%,这应该使其更容易偿还债务。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是明显的起点。 但最终,业务未来的盈利能力将决定唯品会能否随着时间加强资产负债表。 因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看此免费报告,其中显示了分析师的利润预测。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Vipshop Holdings may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Vipshop Holdings produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 64% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
但我们的最终考虑也很重要,因为一家公司无法用虚拟利润偿还债务;它需要现金。 唯品会在资产负债表上可能有净现金,但了解业务如何将利润(息税前利润)转化为自由现金流也很有趣,因为这将影响到其管理债务的需求和能力。 在过去的三年里,唯品会产生稳健的自由现金流,相当于其EBIt的64%,正如我们所预期的那样。 这种自由现金流使公司在适当时支付债务处于有利位置。
Summing Up
总之
We could understand if investors are concerned about Vipshop Holdings's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of CN¥18.0b. And we liked the look of last year's 21% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't think Vipshop Holdings's use of debt is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Vipshop Holdings is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
我们可以理解投资者担心唯品会控股的负债情况,但事实上,它有180亿人民币的净现金,这让我们感到放心。去年21%的年增长率EBIt增长看起来也不错。因此,我们认为唯品会控股的债务使用并不冒险。在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是需要关注的领域。但最终,每家公司都可能存在资产负债表之外的风险。请注意,在我们的投资分析中,唯品会控股出现了1个警告信号,你应该了解...
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。
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