S&P Global Market Intelligence Has Released a Report Exploring How Climate Change and Extreme Weather Are Reshaping the Insurance Industry
S&P Global Market Intelligence Has Released a Report Exploring How Climate Change and Extreme Weather Are Reshaping the Insurance Industry
NEW YORK, Nov. 20, 2024 /PRNewswire/ -- S&P Global Market Intelligence has released a report today showing how evolving natural catastrophe risks due to climate change are forcing insurers to reevaluate their relationships with each other and the world at large. The newly published Evolving Natural Catastrophe Risks report is part of S&P Global Market Intelligence's Big Picture 2025 Outlook Report Series.
纽约,2024年11月20日 /美通社/ -- 标普全球市场情报今天发布了一份报告,显示气候变化导致的自然灾害风险不断演变,迫使保险公司重新评估彼此及与全球的关系。新发布的《自然灾害风险演变报告》是标普全球市场情报2025大局展望报告系列的一部分。
In this new report, S&P Global Market Intelligence's climate, insurance and industry experts highlight how secondary perils like floods, fires and severe convective storms — as distinct from the insurance industry's peak perils of tropical cyclones and earthquakes — are now making up a larger portion of catastrophe losses in recent years. Insurers and reinsurers are used to picking up the tab for natural catastrophes, but the increasing frequency and severity of mid-sized events and hurricanes hitting previously unaffected areas has led to an overhaul of the industry's approach to those payouts.
在这份新报告中,标普全球市场情报的气候、保险和行业专家强调,次要风险如洪水、火灾和强对流风暴,与保险行业的主要风险如热带气旋和地震不同,近年来占据了灾害损失的更大比例。保险公司和再保险公司习惯于为自然灾害买单,但中型事件和飓风频率及严重性的增加,使得行业对这些赔付的处理方式发生了改变。
"The insurance industry has often acted as an early warning system for individuals and industries looking to understand and mitigate future risk. With climate change expected to increase the severity and frequency of natural catastrophes, understanding this altered risk environment is paramount. Insurers have been beating the drum on a variety of climate change risks for many years so their current focus on extreme weather should be a cross-industry concern," said Raymond Barrett, lead author of the report at S&P Global Market Intelligence.
“保险行业往往充当个人和各行业早期预警系统,帮助他们理解和减少未来风险。随着气候变化预计将增加自然灾害的严重性和频率,理解这种变化的风险环境至关重要。保险公司多年来一直在强调各种气候变化风险,因此他们目前对极端天气的关注应引起各行业的重视,” 标普全球市场情报报告的首席作者雷蒙德·巴雷特表示。
Key highlights from the report include:
报告的主要亮点包括:
- Secondary perils such as floods and fires played a large role in the global reinsurance industry failing to earn its cost of capital for five of the six years between 2017 and 2022. The knock-on effect of this new reality has insurers paying more for cover to the reinsurance industry and retaining more risk on their own books.
- One striking example of how the risk landscape has changed is the damage wrought by Hurricane Helene in North Carolina. Hurricanes generally cause the most destruction in coastal regions but in this case the Appalachian Mountains saw some of the most severe devastation from the storm. However, a significant portion of the economic losses caused by Helene are not insured, as flooding falls outside the terms and conditions of most insurance policies in the U.S.
- It has been a costly 2024 so far for European-focused insurers after two large floods hit the central and eastern parts of the continent. S&P Global Sustainable1 data shows that the northernmost part of Germany will be particularly susceptible to increased pluvial flooding in the 2050s.
- These findings highlight the necessity for robust infrastructure design and prioritizing flood-resistant construction. As drought, water stress and localized flooding risks intensify, strategic planning and proactive risk management will be vital to safeguard against evolving climate challenges.
- 次要风险如洪水和火灾在2017年至2022年间六年中的五年里,对全球再保险行业未能获得资本成本起到了重要作用。这种新现实的连锁反应使得保险公司需为再保险行业支付更多的费用,并在自身账簿上承担更多风险。
- 一个明显的例子是北卡罗来纳州赫勒娜飓风造成的损害。飓风通常在沿海地区造成最大的破坏,但在这种情况下,阿巴拉契亚山脉经历了最严重的风暴灾害。然而,由赫勒娜造成的经济损失中有相当一部分是未投保的,因为洪水超出了美国大多数保险政策的条款和条件。
- 到目前为止,2024年对于专注于欧洲的保险公司来说代价高昂,因为中部和东部地区发生了两次大洪水。S&P Global Sustainable1的数据表明,德国北部地区在2050年代将特别容易受到增量性降雨洪水的影响。
- 这些发现强调了对强大基础设施设计的必要性,以及优先考虑防洪施工的重要性。随着干旱、水资源压力和局部洪水风险的加剧,战略规划和主动风险管理将是抵御不断变化的气候挑战的关键。
To request a copy of the Evolving Natural Catastrophe Risks report please contact [email protected]
要请求《不断演变的自然灾害风险》报告的副本,请联系 [email protected]
S&P Global Market Intelligence's opinions, quotes, and credit-related and other analyses are statements of opinion as of the date they are expressed and not statements of fact or recommendation to purchase, hold, or sell any securities or to make any investment decisions, and do not address the suitability of any security.
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S&P Global Market Intelligence
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标普全球市场情报
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