Is Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce Stock a Good Buy?
Is Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce Stock a Good Buy?
For investors looking at top Canadian bank stocks, there are a number of factors to consider. These are obviously top dividend stocks many retirees and those nearing retirement consider for their passive-income potential. However, certain banks have better growth profiles than others, with varying levels of diversification tied to their business lines and geographic footprints.
对于关注加拿大顶级银行股的投资者来说,有许多因素需要考虑。这些显然是许多退休人员和接近退休的人因其被动收入潜力而考虑的顶级股息股票。但是,某些银行的增长状况要好于其他银行,其业务范围和地理足迹的多元化程度各不相同。
One such stock I think is particularly interesting to look at is Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (TSX:CM). This leading Canadian bank is part of the "Big Five" and is more heavily exposed to the Canadian economy than its peers.
我认为其中一只特别有趣的股票是加拿大帝国商业银行(TSX: CM)。这家领先的加拿大银行是 “五大银行” 的一部分,与同行相比,对加拿大经济的敞口更大。
Let's dive into whether this bank stock is a buy, sell, or hold right now.
让我们深入了解一下这只银行股现在是买入、卖出还是持有。
What makes CIBC different?
是什么让 CIBC 与众不同?
Unlike many of its competitors in the Canadian banking space, CIBC has remained increasingly focused on the domestic Canadian market, with a considerable mortgage and corporate lending portfolio that positions this bank as a leading way for investors to gain exposure to the Canadian economy.
与加拿大银行业的许多竞争对手不同,加拿大帝国商业银行一直越来越关注加拿大国内市场,拥有大量的抵押贷款和企业贷款组合,这使该银行成为投资者获得加拿大经济敞口的主要途径。
In other words, for those bullish on where Canada is headed over the next five to 10 years, this is a bank stock that may be a viable way to play this trend.
换句话说,对于那些看好加拿大未来五到十年发展方向的人来说,这只银行股可能是发挥这一趋势的可行方式。
The Canadian economy has continued to provide slow but steady growth over time. However, with interest rates coming down faster than many of its G7 peers thanks to the Bank of Canada, some analysts project that growth could pick up. Indeed, if the country's overall growth rate improves (and the credit quality of consumers and businesses as well) faster than the global market, this could be a top way to play this trend. Currently, opinions vary on this front — headwinds are starting to be seen in the housing market. But if Canada can once again weather the storm clouds on the horizon, this bank could be poised for a nice reversion rally moving forward.
随着时间的推移,加拿大经济继续保持缓慢但稳定的增长。但是,由于加拿大银行的支持,利率的下降速度快于许多七国集团同行,一些分析师预计增长可能会回升。事实上,如果该国的总体增长率(以及消费者和企业的信贷质量)的改善速度快于全球市场,这可能是发挥这一趋势的最佳方式。目前,这方面的看法各不相同——房地产市场开始出现不利因素。但是,如果加拿大能够再次度过地平线上的暴风云,那么这家银行就有望在未来迎来一次不错的反弹反弹。
Results matter
结果很重要
For investors considering investing in CIBC, I'd recommend watching the company's incoming earnings reports closely. This is a bank stock that's seen a relative discount compared to its peers for some time. And trading at less than 13 times earnings, one could make the argument that there's some serious value here.
对于考虑投资加拿大帝国商业银行的投资者,我建议密切关注该公司即将发布的收益报告。一段时间以来,与同行相比,这是一只银行股的相对折扣。而且,以不到13倍的收益进行交易,人们可能会争辩说这里有一些可观的价值。
However, headwinds related to the housing market could provide some headwinds over time, particularly if the Canadian housing market cools considerably from here. We'll have to watch how lending growth continues and see if CIBC can maintain its 7.5% EPS growth (the rate seen in recent quarters) in the coming year.
但是,随着时间的推移,与房地产市场相关的不利因素可能会带来一些不利因素,尤其是在加拿大房地产市场从此大幅降温的情况下。我们必须观察贷款如何持续增长,看看加拿大帝国商业银行能否在来年保持其7.5%的每股收益增长(最近几个季度的增长率)。
If the company can see sustained growth from here, its multiple may be validated, and higher highs could be seen in the coming quarters.
如果该公司能够从此实现持续增长,那么其倍数可能会得到验证,未来几个季度可能会出现更高的高点。
I'm cautious right now
我现在很谨慎
CIBC is a top Canadian bank that's seen a considerable amount of buying pressure of late as the outlook for the Canadian economy has improved. That said, I'm still remaining cautious with this name, as I'm not entirely certain that economic headwinds have abated domestically.
加拿大帝国商业银行是一家加拿大顶级银行,随着加拿大经济前景的改善,它最近面临着相当大的购买压力。话虽如此,我仍然对这个名字保持谨慎,因为我不完全确定国内经济不利因素是否已经减弱。
A soft landing scenario is certainly the consensus most analysts are now forecasting in the U.S. and Canadian markets. We'll have to see how this plays out. For those looking at making a medium-term investment in this name, I think taking a cautious approach is likely warranted, though I think this stock is one that should do fine over the long term.
软着陆情景无疑是大多数分析师现在在美国和加拿大市场预测的共识。我们必须看看结果如何。对于那些想以这个名义进行中期投资的人来说,我认为采取谨慎的态度可能是有道理的,尽管我认为从长远来看,这只股票应该表现良好。