Would Bohai Automotive Systems (SHSE:600960) Be Better Off With Less Debt?
Would Bohai Automotive Systems (SHSE:600960) Be Better Off With Less Debt?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Bohai Automotive Systems CO., LTD. (SHSE:600960) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
一些人说,作为投资者,最好的风险思考方式是波动性,而不是债务,但沃伦·巴菲特曾经说过,“波动性远非风险的代名词”。因此,聪明的投资者知道,债务(通常涉及破产)是评估公司风险程度时非常重要的因素。与许多其他公司一样,渤海汽车股份有限公司(SHSE:600960)利用债务。但这笔债务对股东构成担忧吗?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时有危险?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
债务是帮助企业增长的工具,但如果企业无法偿还债务,则存在于债权人的控制之下。如果情况变得非常糟糕,债权人可以接管企业。然而,更常见(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,公司必须以较低的股价稀释股东权益,只是为了控制债务。当考虑企业使用多少债务时,首先要做的是查看其现金和债务。
What Is Bohai Automotive Systems's Debt?
渤海汽车系统的债务是什么?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, Bohai Automotive Systems had CN¥1.85b of debt, up from CN¥1.67b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥923.5m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥928.5m.
正如您下面所看到的,在2024年9月底,渤海汽车系统的债务为18.5亿人民币,比一年前的16.7亿人民币有所增加。点击图像以获取更多详细信息。然而,由于其拥有92350万人民币的现金储备,因此其净债务较少,约为92850万人民币。
How Strong Is Bohai Automotive Systems' Balance Sheet?
渤海汽车的资产负债表有多坚实?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Bohai Automotive Systems had liabilities of CN¥2.88b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥533.5m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥923.5m and CN¥1.36b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥1.12b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
根据最近公布的资产负债表,渤海汽车的负债总额为人民币28.8亿,其中12个月内到期的负债为人民币53350万。 另一方面,它手头有人民币92350万的现金和13.6亿的应收账款在一年内到期。 因此,其负债总额比现金和短期应收账款的总和多出11.2亿人民币。
This deficit isn't so bad because Bohai Automotive Systems is worth CN¥3.89b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Bohai Automotive Systems's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
这种赤字并不算太糟糕,因为渤海汽车的价值为38.9亿人民币,因此可能筹集足够的资金来支撑其资产负债表,如果有需要的话。 但很明显,我们绝对需要仔细检查它是否能够在不发生股权稀释的情况下管理债务。 毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解债务最多。 但影响资产负债表未来情况的是渤海汽车的收入。 如果您渴望了解更多关于其收入方面的信息,可能值得查看其长期收入趋势的图表。
Over 12 months, Bohai Automotive Systems made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥4.5b, which is a fall of 2.9%. That's not what we would hope to see.
在过去12个月中,渤海汽车在EBIt水平上亏损,并看到其营业收入下滑至45亿人民币,下降了2.9%。这并非我们希望看到的。
Caveat Emptor
买方自负。
Importantly, Bohai Automotive Systems had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost CN¥224m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled CN¥162m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we do consider the stock to be risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Bohai Automotive Systems that you should be aware of.
重要的是,渤海汽车去年在利息和税前利润(EBIT)水平上出现亏损。 实际上,其EBIt水平亏损了22400万人民币。 当我们看到这一点并回想起其资产负债表上的负债,相对于现金,对于公司有任何债务我们认为这是不明智的。 因此,我们认为其资产负债表有些紧张,尽管尚未无法挽回。 另一个需要注意的原因是,渤海汽车在过去12个月中以负的自由现金流亏损了16200万人民币。 因此,我们认为这支股票具有一定风险。 当您分析债务时,资产负债表显然是需要关注的地方。 但最终,每家公司都可能存在超出资产负债表范围的风险。 例如,我们已经发现了一个关于渤海汽车的警示信号,您应该注意。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。
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