The Universe Entertainment and Culture Group Company Limited (HKG:1046) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 30%. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 53% in the last year.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Universe Entertainment and Culture Group may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x, considering almost half of all companies in the Entertainment industry in Hong Kong have P/S ratios greater than 1.5x and even P/S higher than 4x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
SEHK:1046 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 20th 2024
What Does Universe Entertainment and Culture Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Universe Entertainment and Culture Group has been doing very well. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S ratio. Those who are bullish on Universe Entertainment and Culture Group will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Universe Entertainment and Culture Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Universe Entertainment and Culture Group would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 84% gain to the company's top line. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year revenue frustratingly shrank by 39% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 13% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this in mind, we understand why Universe Entertainment and Culture Group's P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.
What We Can Learn From Universe Entertainment and Culture Group's P/S?
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Universe Entertainment and Culture Group's P/S close to the industry median. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Universe Entertainment and Culture Group revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Universe Entertainment and Culture Group you should be aware of, and 1 of them can't be ignored.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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考虑到这一点,我们理解为什么Universe Entertainment and Culture Group的市销率低于大多数同行业竞争者。然而,我们认为营收缩减不太可能导致长期稳定的市销率,这可能会给股东带来未来的失望。即使仅仅维持这些价格也可能很难实现,因为最近的营收趋势已经压制了股价。
从Universe Entertainment and Culture Group的市销率可以学到什么?
最新的股价上涨并未将Universe Entertainment and Culture Group的市销率提升至行业板块中位数附近。我们认为,市销率的作用主要不是作为一种估值工具,而是用来衡量当前投资者情绪和未来预期。
正如我们所怀疑的那样,我们对Universe Entertainment and Culture Group的研究表明,其中期营业收入的减少导致其市销率较低,考虑到行业将会增长。眼下股东们正在接受较低的市销率,因为他们意识到未来的营业收入可能也不会带来任何惊喜。除非最近的中期状况得到改善,否则它们将继续构成这些水平附近的股价障碍。
您应该始终考虑风险。举个例子,我们发现Universe Entertainment and Culture Group存在3个警示信号,您应该注意其中1个不能忽视。