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Investors More Bullish on Anhui Zhongyuan New Materials (SHSE:603527) This Week as Stock Soars 16%, Despite Earnings Trending Downwards Over Past Five Years

Investors More Bullish on Anhui Zhongyuan New Materials (SHSE:603527) This Week as Stock Soars 16%, Despite Earnings Trending Downwards Over Past Five Years

投资者对众源新材(上证:603527)本周更加看好,尽管过去五年的收益趋势下滑,股价却飙升了16%。
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/21 07:02

When we invest, we're generally looking for stocks that outperform the market average. And the truth is, you can make significant gains if you buy good quality businesses at the right price. To wit, the Anhui Zhongyuan New Materials share price has climbed 43% in five years, easily topping the market return of 20% (ignoring dividends).

当我们投资时,通常会寻找表现优于市场平均水平的股票。事实上,如果以适当的价格买入优质企业,您可以获得可观的收益。举例来说,众源新材股票在五年内上涨了43%,远超过市场回报的20%(不考虑分红)。

Since the stock has added CN¥434m to its market cap in the past week alone, let's see if underlying performance has been driving long-term returns.

由于该股上周市值单周增加了43400万人民币,让我们看看潜在的表现是否一直推动着长期回报。

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

市场有时候是有效的,但价格并不总是反映公司的基本业务表现。通过比较每股收益和股价变化,我们可以了解投资者对公司的看法如何随着时间变化而变化。

Anhui Zhongyuan New Materials' earnings per share are down 0.1% per year, despite strong share price performance over five years.

尽管股价在五年内表现强劲,但众源新材的每股收益每年下降0.1%。

By glancing at these numbers, we'd posit that the decline in earnings per share is not representative of how the business has changed over the years. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.

通过观察这些数据,我们可以得出结论:每股收益下降并不代表业务在过去几年发生了变化。由于每股收益的变化似乎与股价的变化不相关,所以值得关注一些其他的指标。

In contrast revenue growth of 19% per year is probably viewed as evidence that Anhui Zhongyuan New Materials is growing, a real positive. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.

相比之下,每年19%的营业收入增长可能被视为众源新材正在成长的证据,这是一个真正的正面。在这种情况下,公司可能正在牺牲目前的每股收益来推动增长。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

以下图像显示了公司的营业收入和盈利(随时间变化)(单击以查看准确的数字)。

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SHSE:603527 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 20th 2024
SHSE:603527 盈利和营收增长 2024年11月20日

Take a more thorough look at Anhui Zhongyuan New Materials' financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

通过这份对众源新材财务状况的免费报告,更深入地了解其资产负债表。

What About Dividends?

关于分红派息的问题

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Anhui Zhongyuan New Materials, it has a TSR of 57% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑总股东回报率(TSR)和股价回报之间的差异。 TSR包括任何拆分股、折价资本募集以及任何分红的价值,假设分红再投资。可以说,TSR提供了股票带来的回报的更全面图片。在众源新材的案例中,其过去5年的TSR为57%。这超过了我们之前提到的股价回报。公司支付的分红因此提振了总股东回报。

A Different Perspective

另一种看法

Investors in Anhui Zhongyuan New Materials had a tough year, with a total loss of 14% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 6.0%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 9%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Anhui Zhongyuan New Materials (of which 2 are a bit concerning!) you should know about.

众源新材的投资者度过了艰难的一年,总损失达到了14%(包括分红派息),而市场则获得了约6.0%的收益。即使好股票的股价有时也会下跌,但我们希望在对某家企业的基本指标见到改善之前并不过于感兴趣。 长期投资者应该不会太难过,因为他们每年会获得9%的回报,连续五年如此。如果基本数据继续表明长期可持续增长,那么当前的抛售行为可能是值得考虑的机会。 虽然值得考虑市场状况对股价的不同影响,但也有其他更为重要的因素。 例如风险。每家公司都会面临风险,我们已经发现众源新材存在3个警示信号(其中2个有点令人担忧!)你应该知道。

We will like Anhui Zhongyuan New Materials better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我们看到一些大手笔内部买入,我们将更喜欢众源新材。在等待期间,请查看这份免费的低估股票名单(主要是小市值股票),其中大部分最近有内部人员大量购买。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章是一般性质的。我们仅基于历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,使用公正的方法,我们的文章并非意在提供财务建议。这并不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,并且不考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您带来基于基础数据驱动的长期聚焦分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St对提及的任何股票都没有持仓。

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