Shenyang Chemical Industry Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000698) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 26%
Shenyang Chemical Industry Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000698) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 26%
Despite an already strong run, Shenyang Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000698) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last thirty days. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 12% over that time.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Shenyang Chemical Industry may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x, considering almost half of all companies in the Chemicals industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 2.3x and even P/S higher than 5x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
What Does Shenyang Chemical Industry's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
The recent revenue growth at Shenyang Chemical Industry would have to be considered satisfactory if not spectacular. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance might fall short of industry figures in the near future, leading to a reduced P/S. Those who are bullish on Shenyang Chemical Industry will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shenyang Chemical Industry's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Shenyang Chemical Industry?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Shenyang Chemical Industry's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 6.6% last year. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with revenue shrinking 56% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 25% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
In light of this, it's understandable that Shenyang Chemical Industry's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.
What Does Shenyang Chemical Industry's P/S Mean For Investors?
Shenyang Chemical Industry's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Shenyang Chemical Industry revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Shenyang Chemical Industry that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shenyang Chemical Industry, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.