The Sol-Gel Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ:SLGL) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 34%. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 68% share price decline.
After such a large drop in price, Sol-Gel Technologies' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Pharmaceuticals industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.5x and even P/S above 13x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
How Sol-Gel Technologies Has Been Performing
Sol-Gel Technologies certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue performance might be less impressive moving forward. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Sol-Gel Technologies' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Sol-Gel Technologies' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, we see the company's revenues grew exponentially. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year revenue frustratingly shrank by 6.5% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenues over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 9.4% each year as estimated by the dual analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 19% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this in consideration, its clear as to why Sol-Gel Technologies' P/S is falling short industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Sol-Gel Technologies' P/S?
The southerly movements of Sol-Gel Technologies' shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As expected, our analysis of Sol-Gel Technologies' analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Sol-Gel Technologies that you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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