Michael Saylor Predicted Bitcoin To Hit $13 Million — If It Happens, It Will Entail 'Massive Hyperinflation,' Analyst Warns
Michael Saylor Predicted Bitcoin To Hit $13 Million — If It Happens, It Will Entail 'Massive Hyperinflation,' Analyst Warns
However, Bianco questions what $13 million would actually buy in 2045—perhaps only what $100,000 buys today. Macro investor Jim Bianco, president of Bianco Research, has sparked a heated debate on Twitter about the potential long-term value of Bitcoin and its implications for the global economy.
宏观投资者Jim Bianco，Bianco Research的总裁，在Twitter上引发了一场关于比特币潜在长期价值及其对全球经济影响的激烈辩论。
What Happened: Responding to the prediction of MicroStrategy (NASDAQ:MSTR) executive chairman Michael Saylor that Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) could hit $13 million by 2045, Bianco noted in a post on X on Thursday that this valuation would put Bitcoin's market cap at around $250 trillion.
发生了什么：针对microstrategy（纳斯达克：MSTR）执行董事长Michael Saylor预测比特币（加密货币：BTC）可能在2045年达到1300万的言论，Bianco在周四的X发帖中指出，这一估值将使比特币的市值达到约250万亿。
This would dwarf the current world GDP of $105 trillion and global stock markets valued at $125 trillion.
这将大大超过目前的全球GDP 105万亿和全球股市的125万亿的估值。
However, Bianco questions what $13 million would actually buy in 2045—perhaps only what $100,000 buys today.
然而，Bianco质疑在2045年1300万到底能买到什么——也许只能购买到今天10万美元的东西。
His answer was stark: "I'll offer an answer: $13 million BTC, or adding $250 trillion to wealth, will create massive hyperinflation."
他的答案很严峻："我给出一个答案：1300万的比特币，或者把250万亿加入财富，将会导致巨大的超通货膨胀。"
The financial analyst argued that such a dramatic increase in Bitcoin's value would likely coincide with – or result from – the collapse of fiat currencies. In this scenario, "$13 million in 2045 will only get you the same amount as $100k today, probably less (a used Honda)," Bianco stated.
这位金融分析师认为，比特币价值如此剧烈的上涨可能与法币的崩溃同时发生——或者是对其结果。在这种情况下，"2045年的1300万只能买到与今天的10万相同的东西，可能还不如（一个二手本田）"，Bianco表示。
While acknowledging that a $13 million Bitcoin price isn't necessarily unrealistic, Bianco cautioned that the conditions leading to such a valuation would be far from ideal. "It is the destruction of all value as we currently know it. It is replaced by a new measure of account, BTC," he explained.
虽然承认1300万的比特币价格并非不切实际，Bianco警告称，导致这种估值的条件将远非理想。"这意味着我们目前所知道的所有价值的毁灭。它将被新的账户标准，BTC所取代，"他解释道。
Bianco also raised concerns about the societal implications of such a scenario. He pointed out that "60% of the US population owns no assets and cannot come up $1,000 in an emergency," questioning what would happen to these individuals in a world of massive hyperinflation and sky-high Bitcoin prices.
Bianco还提出了对这种情形的社会影响的担忧。他指出，"60%的美国人口没有资产，紧急情况下无法筹集到1000美元，"提出了在超通货膨胀和比特币价格飙升的世界中，这些人会发生什么的问题。
Echoing Robert Kiyosaki's thoughts, Bianco concluded "This is not something to look forward to." Kiyosaki in his recent tweet advised to buy Bitcoin today as with "$9,000 today.... you buy .01 Bitcoin today...you are a millionaire tomorrow."
呼应罗伯特·清崎的观点，比安科总结道：“这不是值得期待的事情。”清崎在他最近的推文中建议今天买入比特币，因为“今天以$9,000买入0.01比特币...明天你就是百万富翁。”
Also Read: Bitcoin Hits New All-Time High Above $98,000 As Spot ETFs Crack $100 Billion Net Asset Value Milestone
另请阅读：比特币新高突破 98,000 美元，现货 etf 击破 1000亿净资产价值里程碑
Why It Matters: Bianco isn't alone in his skepticism. Economists Erzo G.J. Luttmer and Amol Amol share a similar sentiment, describing Bitcoin as a disruptive force to government fiscal policies, likening it to "an unruly guest at a carefully planned dinner."
这很重要：比安科并不孤单于他的怀疑。经济学家埃尔佐·G.J.·卢特默和阿莫尔·阿莫尔持有相似的看法，认为比特币对政府财政政策构成了破坏性的力量，把它比作“在精心安排的晚宴上的一个不受控制的客人。”
Peter Schiff, a long-time Bitcoin critic, also warns against such scenarios. He argues that if the U.S. were to hold Bitcoin reserves, it could trigger hyperinflation by forcing the government to print more dollars, devastating both Bitcoin and the dollar's value.
彼得·希夫，一位长期的比特币批评者，也警告关于这种情况。他认为，如果美国持有比特币储备，可能会引发超级通货膨胀，迫使政府印刷更多美元，从而摧毁比特币和美元的价值。
- BlackRock Sees 'Renewed Sense Of Optimism' Around Bitcoin
- 贝莱德对比特币感到“新一轮的乐观情绪”
Image: Shutterstock
图片：shutterstock
