Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass' (SZSE:300395) Five-year Total Shareholder Returns Outpace the Underlying Earnings Growth
Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass' (SZSE:300395) Five-year Total Shareholder Returns Outpace the Underlying Earnings Growth
It might be of some concern to shareholders to see the Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300395) share price down 14% in the last month. But in stark contrast, the returns over the last half decade have impressed. We think most investors would be happy with the 194% return, over that period. Generally speaking the long term returns will give you a better idea of business quality than short periods can. Of course, that doesn't necessarily mean it's cheap now.
对股东来说,华佳星辉石英玻璃股份有限公司 (SZSE:300395) 的股价在过去一个月下跌了14%,可能会引起一些关注。但截然相反,过去五年的回报令人印象深刻。我们认为大多数投资者会对那段时期的194%回报感到满意。一般来说,长期回报将为您提供有关企业质量的更好想法,而短期回报则无法做到这一点。当然,这并不一定意味着现在便宜。
Although Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass has shed CN¥932m from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.
尽管华佳星辉石英玻璃本周市值减少了人民币93200万,让我们看看它的长期基本趋势,看看是否驱动了回报。
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
市场有时无疑是高效的,但价格并不总是反映基础业务表现。 一种检查市场情绪如何随时间改变的方法是查看公司的股价与每股收益(EPS)之间的互动。
Over half a decade, Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass managed to grow its earnings per share at 11% a year. This EPS growth is slower than the share price growth of 24% per year, over the same period. This suggests that market participants hold the company in higher regard, these days. That's not necessarily surprising considering the five-year track record of earnings growth. This optimism is visible in its fairly high P/E ratio of 57.26.
在过去的半个多世纪里,华佳星辉石英玻璃年均以11%的速度增长了每股收益。与同期每年24%的股价增长相比,这一EPS增长速度较慢。这表明市场参与者如今更看好这家公司。考虑到五年的盈利增长记录,这并不奇怪。这种乐观情绪体现在其相当高的57.26的市盈率中。
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下图显示了EPS随时间变化的情况(点击图像以显示确切值)。
This free interactive report on Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass' earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
如果您想进一步调查股票,菲利华石英玻璃的收入、营业收入和现金流情况,这份免费的互动报告是个很好的开始。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass, it has a TSR of 202% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
重要考虑总股东回报以及股价回报,对于任何给定的股票。而股价回报仅反映了股价的变化,TSR包括了分红的价值(假设它们被再投资)以及任何折价的增资或拆分的好处。可以说TSR为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的图片。对于菲利华石英玻璃而言,过去5年内TSR为202%,超过了之前提到的股价回报。这在很大程度上是其分红派息的结果!
A Different Perspective
另一种看法
While the broader market gained around 8.3% in the last year, Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass shareholders lost 6.3% (even including dividends). Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 25%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass that you should be aware of before investing here.
尽管更广泛的市场过去一年增长了大约8.3%,菲利华石英玻璃的股东却损失了6.3%(即使包括分红在内)。即使好股票的股价有时也会下跌,但我们希望看到业务的基本指标有所改善,才会变得更感兴趣。长期投资者不会太失望,因为他们每年都会获利25%。如果基本数据继续表明长期可持续增长,当前的抛售可能值得考虑。我发现长期观察股价作为业务表现的替代指标非常有趣。但要真正获得洞察力,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,我们发现了菲利华石英玻璃的1个警告信号,您在投资这里之前应该注意。
We will like Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.
如果我们看到一些内部人员买入股票,我们会更喜欢菲利华。在等待的时候,请查看这份免费的低估股票名单(主要是小市值股票),其中有相当多近期内部人员买入的情况。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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