Xuelong Group Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:603949) On An Uptrend But Financial Prospects Look Pretty Weak: Is The Stock Overpriced?
Xuelong Group Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:603949) On An Uptrend But Financial Prospects Look Pretty Weak: Is The Stock Overpriced?
Xuelong GroupLtd (SHSE:603949) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 49% over the last three months. However, we decided to pay close attention to its weak financials as we are doubtful that the current momentum will keep up, given the scenario. Specifically, we decided to study Xuelong GroupLtd's ROE in this article.
Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.
How Is ROE Calculated?
The formula for ROE is:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Xuelong GroupLtd is:
6.2% = CN¥62m ÷ CN¥1.0b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.06.
What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?
So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.
Xuelong GroupLtd's Earnings Growth And 6.2% ROE
On the face of it, Xuelong GroupLtd's ROE is not much to talk about. Next, when compared to the average industry ROE of 8.2%, the company's ROE leaves us feeling even less enthusiastic. For this reason, Xuelong GroupLtd's five year net income decline of 17% is not surprising given its lower ROE. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.
That being said, we compared Xuelong GroupLtd's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 9.0% in the same 5-year period.
Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Xuelong GroupLtd's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.
Is Xuelong GroupLtd Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?
Xuelong GroupLtd's very high three-year median payout ratio of 103% over the last three years suggests that the company is paying its shareholders more than what it is earning and this explains the company's shrinking earnings. Its usually very hard to sustain dividend payments that are higher than reported profits. You can see the 2 risks we have identified for Xuelong GroupLtd by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.
Moreover, Xuelong GroupLtd has been paying dividends for four years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer consistent dividends even though earnings have been shrinking.
Summary
Overall, we would be extremely cautious before making any decision on Xuelong GroupLtd. Specifically, it has shown quite an unsatisfactory performance as far as earnings growth is concerned, and a poor ROE and an equally poor rate of reinvestment seem to be the reason behind this inadequate performance. So far, we've only made a quick discussion around the company's earnings growth. So it may be worth checking this free detailed graph of Xuelong GroupLtd's past earnings, as well as revenue and cash flows to get a deeper insight into the company's performance.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.